Trade Josh Allen for Tetairoa McMillan? No, Allen is worth 11 more.
No on value. Josh Allen is worth 69 rest of season and Tetairoa McMillan 58, so giving up Allen costs 11. Allen rates 22.8 market points a game with 11 games left, McMillan 13.9 with 12. On usage, Allen has thrown 29.8 passes and run 7.0 times a game; McMillan has drawn 27 percent of CAR targets. Allen is at LV in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to QBs); McMillan is at PHI in Week 6 (10th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Keeping Josh Allen wins by 11.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 22.8
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 7
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | 22.8 | 22.8 |
- Pts/game
- 13.9
- Games left
- 12
- Bye
- 5
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 13.1 | 14.7 | not priced |
Where the values come from
Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 27th overall. His 22.8 a game is 6.3 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 69.
McMillan is the 12th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 58.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4 and 22.8 in Week 5, a median of 22.8 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3 and 14.7 in Week 4, a median of 13.9 points a game, up 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Josh Allen has scored 115.5 PPR points in 4 games, 28.9 a game, 6.1 a game more than the 22.8 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.
Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Tetairoa McMillan has scored 74.5 PPR points in 4 games, 18.6 a game, 4.7 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.
Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Josh Allen has averaged 29.8 attempts, 260 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 7.0 runs for 31 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against NE he went 23 of 33 for 253 yards and 1 touchdown.
Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.8 targets and 6.5 catches for 96 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against DET he had 16 targets on 89 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Josh Allen has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 7; Tetairoa McMillan has 12 games with no bye left.
LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.
PHI, McMillan's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Tetairoa McMillan would want about 11 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Allen also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Josh Allen and Tetairoa McMillan
Chuba Hubbard for Josh Allen96 vs 69
Aaron Jones Sr. for Josh Allen95 vs 69
Ashton Jeanty for Josh Allen95 vs 69
Chase Brown for Josh Allen90 vs 69
Chris Olave for Josh Allen90 vs 69
Drake London for Tetairoa McMillan81 vs 58
Garrett Wilson for Tetairoa McMillan79 vs 58
D'Andre Swift for Tetairoa McMillan76 vs 58
Brock Bowers for Tetairoa McMillan75 vs 58
Nico Collins for Tetairoa McMillan73 vs 58
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Josh Allen for Tetairoa McMillan?
No on value: Josh Allen is worth 69 and Tetairoa McMillan 58, a loss of 11. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Allen.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Josh Allen or Tetairoa McMillan?
Josh Allen, 69 to 58. He rates 22.8 market points a game over 11 games left, against 13.9 over 12 for Tetairoa McMillan, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number