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Trade Chase Brown for Josh Allen? No, Brown is worth 21 more.

No on value. Chase Brown is worth 90 rest of season and Josh Allen 69, so giving up Brown costs 21. Brown rates 16.1 market points a game with 11 games left, Allen 22.8 with 11. On usage, Brown has 72 percent of CIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Allen has thrown 29.8 passes and run 7.0 times a game. Brown is on bye in Week 6; Allen is at LV in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to QBs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Chase Brown wins by 21.

Chase Brown 9069 Josh Allen

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Chase Brown

RB11CIN

90

value, #16

Pts/game
16.1
Games left
11
Bye
6
Chase Brown weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
16.117.412.0

Josh Allen

QB1BUF

69

value, #27

Pts/game
22.8
Games left
11
Bye
7
Josh Allen weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
23.522.822.8

Where the values come from

Brown is the 11th running back on the chart and 16th overall. His 16.1 a game is 8.2 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 90.

Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 27th overall. His 22.8 a game is 6.3 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 69.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Chase Brown at 16.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 12.0 in Week 5, a median of 16.1 points a game, down 4.1 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4 and 22.8 in Week 5, a median of 22.8 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Chase Brown has scored 65.0 PPR points in 5 games, 13.0 a game, 3.1 a game less than the 16.1 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished RB7 with 282.6 PPR points in 17 games, 16.6 a game.

Week 1 vs TB: 18.8 points (RB14 that week), 56 rushing yards on 16 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 22 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs HOU: 11.2 points (RB19 that week), 80 rushing yards on 20 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 2 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PIT: 8.9 points (RB33 that week), 61 rushing yards on 13 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 8 yards, 70 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs JAX: 19.1 points (RB13 that week), 10 rushing yards on 9 carries, 11 of 11 targets for 71 yards, 79 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs MIA: 7.0 points (RB31 that week), 39 rushing yards on 13 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 21 yards.

Josh Allen has scored 115.5 PPR points in 4 games, 28.9 a game, 6.1 a game more than the 22.8 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.

Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Chase Brown has averaged 14.5 carries for 52 yards and 6.0 targets and 5.3 catches for 26 yards a game on 73 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 26 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against JAX he had 9 carries and 11 targets on 79 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Josh Allen has averaged 29.8 attempts, 260 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 7.0 runs for 31 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.

In Week 4 against NE he went 23 of 33 for 253 yards and 1 touchdown.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Chase Brown has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Josh Allen has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.

LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.

What would even it

The side getting Josh Allen would want about 21 more added to make it even: a player like DJ Moore, valued at 22. Two players for Brown also costs that side a roster spot.

DJ Moore's player page

Other trades for Chase Brown and Josh Allen

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Chase Brown for Josh Allen?

    No on value: Chase Brown is worth 90 and Josh Allen 69, a loss of 21. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Brown.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Chase Brown or Josh Allen?

    Chase Brown, 90 to 69. He rates 16.1 market points a game over 11 games left, against 22.8 over 11 for Josh Allen, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number