Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Josh Allen? No, Jones is worth 26 more.
No on value. Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 95 rest of season and Josh Allen 69, so giving up Jones costs 26. Jones rates 16.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Allen 22.8 with 11. On usage, Jones has 65 percent of MIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Allen has thrown 29.8 passes and run 7.0 times a game. Jones is on bye in Week 6; Allen is at LV in Week 6 (15th most points allowed to QBs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (leg).
The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Aaron Jones Sr. wins by 26.

Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 16.5
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1 | 17.4 | 16.5 |
- Pts/game
- 22.8
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 7
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 23.5 | 22.8 | 22.8 |
Where the values come from
Jones is the 9th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.5 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 95.
Allen is the 1st quarterback on the chart and 27th overall. His 22.8 a game is 6.3 above the replacement quarterback's 16.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 7, which is how he comes to 69.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 16.5 in Week 5, a median of 16.5 points a game, up 2.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Josh Allen at 23.5 in Week 3, 22.8 in Week 4 and 22.8 in Week 5, a median of 22.8 points a game, down 0.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.5 a game less than the 16.5 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.
Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB5 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.
Josh Allen has scored 115.5 PPR points in 4 games, 28.9 a game, 6.1 a game more than the 22.8 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished QB1 with 374.6 PPR points in 17 games, 22.0 a game.
Week 1 vs HOU: 35.7 points (QB2 that week), 334 passing yards, 2 touchdown passes, 23 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs DET: 40.8 points (QB1 that week), 248 passing yards, 3 touchdown passes, 69 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs LAC: 19.5 points (QB17 that week), 204 passing yards, 0 touchdown passes, 22 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NE: 19.5 points (QB10 that week), 253 passing yards, 1 touchdown pass, 4 rushing yards, 100 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 18.0 carries for 74 yards and 3.8 targets and 2.3 catches for 17 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against MIA he had 20 carries and 8 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Josh Allen has averaged 29.8 attempts, 260 passing yards and 1.5 touchdown passes a game, with 7.0 runs for 31 yards on 100 percent of the snaps.
In Week 4 against NE he went 23 of 33 for 253 yards and 1 touchdown.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Josh Allen has 11 games with his bye in Week 7.
LV, Allen's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 17.4 PPR points a game to QBs this season over 4 games, the 15th most to QBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Josh Allen would want about 26 more added to make it even: a player like Omarion Hampton, valued at 26. Two players for Jones also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Josh Allen

Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaxon Smith-Njigba95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Amon-Ra St. Brown95 vs 119
Aaron Jones Sr. for Derrick Henry95 vs 115
Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey95 vs 114
Chuba Hubbard for Josh Allen96 vs 69
Ashton Jeanty for Josh Allen95 vs 69
Chase Brown for Josh Allen90 vs 69
Chris Olave for Josh Allen90 vs 69
Josh Allen for Puka Nacua69 vs 90
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Josh Allen?
No on value: Aaron Jones Sr. is worth 95 and Josh Allen 69, a loss of 26. It can still help a lineup that needs a quarterback more than it needs Jones.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Josh Allen?
Aaron Jones Sr., 95 to 69. He rates 16.5 market points a game over 11 games left, against 22.8 over 11 for Josh Allen, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number