Trade Luther Burden III for Travis Kelce? Yes, Kelce is worth 10 more.
Yes on value. Travis Kelce is worth 34 rest of season and Luther Burden III 24, so the side getting Kelce gains 10. Burden rates 11.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Kelce 12.3 with 12. On usage, Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets; Kelce has drawn 19 percent of KC targets. Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs); Kelce hosts LAC in Week 6 (8th fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5
Getting Travis Kelce wins by 10.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 11.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 10
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8 | 11.3 | 11.5 |
- Pts/game
- 12.3
- Games left
- 12
- Bye
- 5
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6 | 11.9 | not priced |
Where the values come from
Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.
Kelce is the 3rd tight end on the chart and 49th overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.8 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 34.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Travis Kelce at 12.6 in Week 3 and 11.9 in Week 4, a median of 12.3 points a game, down 0.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.
Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.
Travis Kelce has scored 52.6 PPR points in 4 games, 13.2 a game, 0.8 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished TE3 with 193.2 PPR points in 17 games, 11.4 a game.
Week 1 vs DEN: 10.1 points (TE16 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 71 yards, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs IND: 25.1 points (TE2 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 101 yards, 1 touchdown, 85 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs MIA: 13.9 points (TE11 that week), 2 of 2 targets for 59 yards, 1 touchdown, 79 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs LV: 3.5 points (TE32 that week), 2 of 4 targets for 15 yards, 83 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Travis Kelce has averaged 5.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 62 yards a game on 80 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 5 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against LV he had 4 targets on 83 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Luther Burden III has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Travis Kelce has 12 games with no bye left.
ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.
LAC, Kelce's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 9.9 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 8th fewest to TEs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Luther Burden III would want about 10 more added to make it even: a player like Carnell Tate, valued at 11. Two players for Kelce also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Luther Burden III and Travis Kelce
Jacory Croskey-Merritt for Luther Burden III36 vs 24
Jaylen Waddle for Luther Burden III36 vs 24
Luther Burden III for Malik Nabers24 vs 36
David Montgomery for Luther Burden III35 vs 24
Luther Burden III for Matthew Golden24 vs 35
Bucky Irving for Travis Kelce48 vs 34
Bhayshul Tuten for Travis Kelce45 vs 34
Jalen Coker for Travis Kelce43 vs 34
Josh Downs for Travis Kelce37 vs 34- Jacory Croskey-Merritt for Travis Kelce36 vs 34
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Luther Burden III for Travis Kelce?
Yes on value: Travis Kelce is worth 34 and Luther Burden III 24, a gain of 10. If Luther Burden III starts for you and Travis Kelce would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Luther Burden III or Travis Kelce?
Travis Kelce, 34 to 24. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 12 games left, against 11.3 over 11 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number