Start Malik Willis or Aaron Rodgers? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Malik Willis over Aaron Rodgers in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Malik Willis at 15.3 points and Aaron Rodgers at 14.6, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Malik Willis, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Malik Willis at 177.5 passing yards and 33.5 rushing yards, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 14.6 fantasy points for Aaron Rodgers, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Aaron Rodgers at 220.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 0.5 rushing yards, with a 6% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16, 8 and 14 books).

That puts Malik Willis 0.7 points ahead of Aaron Rodgers on the books.

Injury status

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Aaron Rodgers is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 65 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 1 against LV: 56 of 56 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 220 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 2 against SF: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Through Week 2, Aaron Rodgers played 98 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 86 times and threw an average of 7.8 air yards per attempt.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 1 against ATL: 67 of 67 snaps, 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 2 against NE: 67 of 70 snaps, 23 of 39 passes for 187 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 5 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Malik Willis, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 39 of 47 snaps, 18 of 21 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 60 yards, 31.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Aaron Rodgers played 16 games for PIT and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He completed 327 of 498 passes for 3322 yards, 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 21 times for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers, Week 18 of 2025 against BAL: 31 of 47 passes for 294 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 20 yards, 17.8 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Malik Willis over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Malik Willis over Cam Ward.
• Start Daniel Jones over Malik Willis.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.