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Start Daniel Jones or Malik Willis? Week 3

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Daniel Jones over Malik Willis

Books imply
15.9
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2
Books imply
15.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
100%
Through Week 2

Our Week 3 call

Start Daniel Jones over Malik Willis in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Daniel Jones at 15.9 points and Malik Willis at 15.3, a gap of 0.6. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for Daniel Jones, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Daniel Jones at 218.5 passing yards, 1.5 passing touchdowns and 9.5 rushing yards, with a 13% chance to score a touchdown (16, 17, 15 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Malik Willis, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Malik Willis at 177.5 passing yards and 33.5 rushing yards, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (14, 15 and 15 books).

That puts Daniel Jones 0.6 points ahead of Malik Willis on the books.

Injury status

Daniel Jones is not on the injury report.

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Daniel Jones played 100 percent of IND snaps, dropped back 67 times and threw an average of 5.9 air yards per attempt.

Daniel Jones, Week 1 against BAL: 54 of 54 snaps, 19 of 31 passes for 166 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Daniel Jones, Week 2 against KC: 65 of 65 snaps, 22 of 31 passes for 210 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Through Week 2, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 65 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 1 against LV: 56 of 56 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 220 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 2 against SF: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Daniel Jones played 13 games for IND and scored 234.4 PPR points, 18.0 a game, finishing QB17.

He completed 261 of 384 passes for 3101 yards, 19 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 45 times for 164 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 91 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Malik Willis, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 39 of 47 snaps, 18 of 21 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 60 yards, 31.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB25 · IND · bye 13

2025 vs pass yds line 6-7

Overall rank
130
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

QB28 · MIA · bye 6

2025 vs anytime td line 1-3

Overall rank
134
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board4
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 5
  • Board size227 draftable players

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Week 3 on the board

Elsewhere on the board