Malik Willis or Aaron Rodgers: who to draft first

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Malik Willis at 14.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 46th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

The player markets price Aaron Rodgers at 11.9 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 66th highest figure of the 182 players the books price.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Malik Willis: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 132nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 90.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Aaron Rodgers: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 150th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 119.

This season through Week 1

Through Week 1, Malik Willis has been on the field for 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 37 times and thrown 11.4 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 9 of 37 dropbacks and scrambled 5 times.

In Week 1 against LV he completed 15 of 27 passes for 220 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 6 times for 39 yards.

Through Week 1, Aaron Rodgers has been on the field for 100 percent of PIT snaps, dropped back 42 times and thrown 10.2 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 5 of 42 dropbacks.

In Week 1 against ATL he completed 24 of 40 passes for 221 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Malik Willis played 4 games and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He threw for 422 yards on 35 attempts with 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

That came to 8.8 attempts a game at 12.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Aaron Rodgers played 16 games and scored 234.1 PPR points, 14.6 a game, finishing QB18.

He threw for 3322 yards on 498 attempts with 24 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 61 yards and 1 touchdown.

That came to 31.1 attempts a game at 6.7 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Aaron Rodgers was available for 12 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Aaron Rodgers scored 14.6 PPR points a game and Malik Willis 12.8, 1.8 a game between them.

Malik Willis finished QB45 that year and Aaron Rodgers QB18.

Aaron Rodgers had 463 more pass attempts than Malik Willis, 498 to 35.

Aaron Rodgers had 2900 more passing yards than Malik Willis, 3322 to 422.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Malik Willis is off in Week 6 and Aaron Rodgers in Week 9, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

2.5 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.