Start Baker Mayfield or Malik Willis? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Malik Willis over Baker Mayfield in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Malik Willis at 15.3 points and Baker Mayfield at 14.1, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 15.3 fantasy points for Malik Willis, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Malik Willis at 177.5 passing yards and 33.5 rushing yards, with a 23% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 14.1 fantasy points for Baker Mayfield, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Baker Mayfield at 216.5 passing yards and 16.5 rushing yards, with a 14% chance to score a touchdown (11, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Malik Willis 1.3 points ahead of Baker Mayfield on the books.

Injury status

Malik Willis is not on the injury report.

Baker Mayfield is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Malik Willis played 100 percent of MIA snaps, dropped back 65 times and threw an average of 9.6 air yards per attempt.

Malik Willis, Week 1 against LV: 56 of 56 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 220 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 39 yards.

Malik Willis, Week 2 against SF: 59 of 59 snaps, 14 of 23 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards.

Through Week 2, Baker Mayfield played 100 percent of TB snaps, dropped back 76 times and threw an average of 9.1 air yards per attempt.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 31 yards.

Baker Mayfield, Week 2 against CLE: 65 of 65 snaps, 21 of 34 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 29 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Malik Willis played 4 games for GB and scored 51.2 PPR points, 12.8 a game, finishing QB45.

He completed 30 of 35 passes for 422 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, and ran 22 times for 123 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Malik Willis, Week 17 of 2025 against BAL: 39 of 47 snaps, 18 of 21 passes for 288 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 60 yards, 31.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 31 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Malik Willis over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Malik Willis over Cam Ward.
• Start Daniel Jones over Malik Willis.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Cam Ward.