Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Dylan Sampson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Dylan Sampson
Right: 2.3 to 0.0
- Books imply
- 3.6
- fantasy pts
- CLE D vs RB
- 16.3
- 11th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 2.3
- PPR pts
- JAX D vs RB
- 12.6
- 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Dylan Sampson in Week 1.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. is priced by the books at 3.6 projected points. Dylan Sampson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 174 and Dylan Sampson at 184. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 3.6 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Dylan Sampson in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.
Dylan Sampson and CLE visit JAX.
JAX allowed 12.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 34 yards and no touchdowns against JAX and caught passes for 42 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Dylan Sampson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.
He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.
He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Dylan Sampson, Week 18 of 2025 against CIN: 10 carries for 32 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 6.4 PPR points.
Dylan Sampson, Week 17 of 2025 against PIT: 18 of 52 snaps, 11 carries for 27 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 0 yards, 5.7 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3 PPR points and Dylan Sampson scored 0.0.
The call was right: Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscored Dylan Sampson by 2.3.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished 1.3 points below the 3.6 the props implied.
Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.
Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.
Dylan Sampson, Week 1 against JAX: 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB43 · JAX · bye 7
2025 vs anytime td line 6-7
- Overall rank
- 167
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB58 · CLE · bye 11
2025 vs anytime td line 2-13
- Overall rank
- 239
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 13
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board72
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 13
- Board size244 draftable players
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