Start Derrick Henry or Ashton Jeanty? Week 3
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty

- Books imply
- 18.5
- fantasy pts
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 8%
- Through Week 2

- Books imply
- 17.0
- fantasy pts
- NO D vs RB
- 28.9
- 6th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 77%
- Through Week 2
- Target share
- 22%
- Through Week 2
Our Week 3 call
Start Derrick Henry over Ashton Jeanty in Week 3.
De-vigged player props project Derrick Henry at 18.5 points and Ashton Jeanty at 17.0, a gap of 1.5.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Derrick Henry at 90.5 rushing yards, 10.5 receiving yards and 1.5 receptions, with a 68% chance to score a touchdown (15, 11, 12 and 15 books).
Player prop markets imply 17.0 fantasy points for Ashton Jeanty, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
The books have Ashton Jeanty at 68.5 rushing yards, 21.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 52% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13, 12 and 15 books).
That puts Derrick Henry 1.5 points ahead of Ashton Jeanty on the books.
Week 3 matchups
Ashton Jeanty and LV visit NO on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.
NO allowed 29.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 2 games, the 6th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 119 yards and 1.5 touchdowns a game against NO and caught passes for 36 more yards.
Injury status
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Ashton Jeanty is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 3
Through Week 2, Derrick Henry played 54 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 8 percent of the targets and had 65 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Derrick Henry, Week 2 against NO: 31 of 58 snaps, 16 carries for 68 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 19 yards, 1 touchdown.
Through Week 2, Ashton Jeanty played 77 percent of LV snaps, took 73 percent of the carries, drew 22 percent of the targets and had 59 percent of the red zone chances.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 1 against MIA: 50 of 68 snaps, 23 carries for 102 yards, 6 targets and 6 catches for 45 yards, 2 touchdowns.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 2 against LAC: 51 of 63 snaps, 21 carries for 48 yards, 7 targets and 4 catches for 15 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Derrick Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 20 carries for 126 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 12.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Ashton Jeanty played 17 games for LV and scored 245.1 PPR points, 14.4 a game, finishing RB11.
He ran 266 times for 975 yards and 5 touchdowns, and caught 55 of 73 targets for 346 yards.
He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Ashton Jeanty, Week 18 of 2025 against KC: 26 carries for 87 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 7 yards, 12.4 PPR points.
Their other Week 3 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB5 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 7
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
Ranked behind
RB6 · LV · bye 13
2025 vs rec yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 9
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 3, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board2
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 3 and tier 4
- Board size230 draftable players
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