Start Jaxson Dart or Baker Mayfield? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Jaxson Dart over Baker Mayfield in Week 1.

Jaxson Dart is priced by the books at 11.8 projected points. Baker Mayfield has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Jaxson Dart at ADP 121 and Baker Mayfield at 126. Market coverage on Jaxson Dart is 65 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for Jaxson Dart, with 65 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Baker Mayfield in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Jaxson Dart and NYG host DAL on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

DAL allowed 26.6 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 3 touchdowns against DAL, with no interceptions.

Baker Mayfield and TB visit CIN.

CIN allowed 11.6 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 216 yards and no touchdowns against CIN, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Jaxson Dart has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jaxson Dart was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Baker Mayfield was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jaxson Dart played 14 games for NYG and scored 246.6 PPR points, 17.6 a game, finishing QB14.

He completed 216 of 339 passes for 2272 yards, 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 86 times for 487 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jaxson Dart, Week 18 of 2025 against DAL: 22 of 32 passes for 230 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 32 yards, 20.4 PPR points.

Jaxson Dart, Week 17 of 2025 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 207 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 48 yards, 25.1 PPR points.

Jaxson Dart, Week 16 of 2025 against MIN: 56 of 56 snaps, 7 of 13 passes for 33 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Baker Mayfield played 17 games for TB and scored 282.9 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing QB12.

He completed 343 of 543 passes for 3693 yards, 26 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 55 times for 382 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Baker Mayfield, Week 18 of 2025 against CAR: 67 of 67 snaps, 16 of 22 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 31 yards, 14.2 PPR points.

Baker Mayfield, Week 17 of 2025 against MIA: 67 of 67 snaps, 33 of 44 passes for 346 yards, 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 16 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Baker Mayfield, Week 16 of 2025 against CAR: 64 of 64 snaps, 18 of 26 passes for 145 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 49 yards, 13.7 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Jaxson Dart scored 26.6 PPR points and Baker Mayfield scored 11.6.

The call was right: Jaxson Dart outscored Baker Mayfield by 15.0.

Jaxson Dart finished 14.8 points above the 11.8 the props implied.

Jaxson Dart, Week 1 against DAL: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 230 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 54 yards, 26.6 PPR points.

Jaxson Dart finished as the week's QB4 in PPR scoring.

Baker Mayfield, Week 1 against CIN: 57 of 57 snaps, 23 of 28 passes for 216 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 30 yards, 11.6 PPR points.

Baker Mayfield finished as the week's QB27 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Jaxson Dart over Bo Nix.
• Start Jaxson Dart over Jordan Love.
• Start Justin Herbert over Jaxson Dart.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Jordan Love.
• Start Justin Herbert over Baker Mayfield.