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Start Bo Nix or Jaxson Dart? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jaxson Dart over Bo Nix

Right: 26.6 to 6.4
Start

Jaxson Dart

QB · NYG · vs DAL

Books imply
11.8
fantasy pts
DAL D vs QB
26.6
4th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
26.6
PPR pts
Sit

Bo Nix

QB · DEN · at KC

KC D vs QB
6.4
fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Week 1
Scored
6.4
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Jaxson Dart over Bo Nix in Week 1.

Jaxson Dart is priced by the books at 11.8 projected points. Bo Nix has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Jaxson Dart at ADP 121 and Bo Nix at 109. Market coverage on Jaxson Dart is 65 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

No sportsbook posted a player market for Bo Nix in Week 1.

Player prop markets imply 11.8 fantasy points for Jaxson Dart, with 65 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Week 1 matchups

Bo Nix and DEN visit KC.

KC allowed 6.4 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 131 yards and a touchdown against KC, with an interception.

Jaxson Dart and NYG host DAL on Sunday at 8:20 PM ET.

DAL allowed 26.6 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 4th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 230 yards and 3 touchdowns against DAL, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Jaxson Dart has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Bo Nix was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Jaxson Dart was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Bo Nix, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 72 of 72 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 9 carries for 42 yards, 20.5 PPR points.

Bo Nix, Week 16 of 2025 against JAX: 66 of 66 snaps, 28 of 47 passes for 352 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 4 carries for 11 yards, 16.2 PPR points.

In 2025, Jaxson Dart played 14 games for NYG and scored 246.6 PPR points, 17.6 a game, finishing QB14.

He completed 216 of 339 passes for 2272 yards, 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 86 times for 487 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jaxson Dart, Week 18 of 2025 against DAL: 22 of 32 passes for 230 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 32 yards, 20.4 PPR points.

Jaxson Dart, Week 17 of 2025 against LV: 64 of 64 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 207 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 9 carries for 48 yards, 25.1 PPR points.

Jaxson Dart, Week 16 of 2025 against MIN: 56 of 56 snaps, 7 of 13 passes for 33 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Jaxson Dart scored 26.6 PPR points and Bo Nix scored 6.4.

The call was right: Jaxson Dart outscored Bo Nix by 20.2.

Jaxson Dart finished 14.8 points above the 11.8 the props implied.

Jaxson Dart, Week 1 against DAL: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 29 passes for 230 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 54 yards, 26.6 PPR points.

Jaxson Dart finished as the week's QB4 in PPR scoring.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 2 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

Bo Nix finished as the week's QB31 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB13 · DEN · bye 10

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Overall rank
32
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB17 · NYG · bye 8

2025 vs pass td line 5-7

Overall rank
40
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 1
  • Board size244 draftable players

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