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Start Braelon Allen or Brian Robinson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Braelon Allen over Brian Robinson

Right: 4.0 to 3.1
Start

Braelon Allen

RB · NYJ · at TEN

Books imply
1.9
fantasy pts
TEN D vs RB
23.8
15th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
40%
Week 1
Target share
4%
Week 1
Scored
4.0
PPR pts
Sit

Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · at PIT

PIT D vs RB
34.4
6th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
25%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
3.1
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Braelon Allen over Brian Robinson in Week 1.

Braelon Allen is priced by the books at 1.9 projected points. Brian Robinson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Braelon Allen at ADP 191 and Brian Robinson at 200. Market coverage on Braelon Allen is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 1.9 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Brian Robinson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Braelon Allen and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.

Brian Robinson and ATL visit PIT.

PIT allowed 34.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and no touchdowns against PIT and caught passes for 90 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Robinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Brian Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.

He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.

He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 6 of 42 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.

Brian Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 11 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Brian Robinson, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 10 of 66 snaps, 5 carries for 20 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Braelon Allen scored 4.0 PPR points and Brian Robinson scored 3.1.

The call was right: Braelon Allen outscored Brian Robinson by 0.9.

Braelon Allen finished 2.1 points above the 1.9 the props implied.

Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4.0 PPR points.

Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB50 in PPR scoring.

Brian Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 15 of 60 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.1 PPR points.

Brian Robinson finished as the week's RB55 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB39 · NYJ · bye 13

2025 vs rush yds line 1-3

Overall rank
155
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB45 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 7-10

Overall rank
169
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board14
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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