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Start Brian Robinson or Dylan Sampson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Dylan Sampson over Brian Robinson

Wrong: 0.0 to 3.1
Start

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLE · at JAX

Books imply
0.9
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
12.6
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Scored
0.0
PPR pts
Sit

Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · at PIT

PIT D vs RB
34.4
6th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
25%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
3.1
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Dylan Sampson over Brian Robinson in Week 1.

Dylan Sampson is priced by the books at 0.9 projected points. Brian Robinson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Dylan Sampson at ADP 184 and Brian Robinson at 191. Market coverage on Dylan Sampson is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 0.9 fantasy points for Dylan Sampson, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Brian Robinson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Dylan Sampson and CLE visit JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 12.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 34 yards and no touchdowns against JAX and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Brian Robinson and ATL visit PIT.

PIT allowed 34.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and no touchdowns against PIT and caught passes for 90 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Robinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dylan Sampson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Brian Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dylan Sampson, Week 18 of 2025 against CIN: 10 carries for 32 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

Dylan Sampson, Week 17 of 2025 against PIT: 18 of 52 snaps, 11 carries for 27 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 0 yards, 5.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 6 of 42 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.

Brian Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 11 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Brian Robinson, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 10 of 66 snaps, 5 carries for 20 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Dylan Sampson scored 0.0 PPR points and Brian Robinson scored 3.1.

The call was wrong: Brian Robinson outscored Dylan Sampson by 3.1.

Dylan Sampson finished 0.9 points below the 0.9 the props implied.

Dylan Sampson, Week 1 against JAX: 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Brian Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 15 of 60 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.1 PPR points.

Brian Robinson finished as the week's RB55 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB45 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 7-10

Overall rank
170
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB58 · CLE · bye 11

2025 vs anytime td line 2-13

Overall rank
239
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board69
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 10 and tier 13
  • Board size244 draftable players

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