Start Justice Hill or Brian Robinson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Justice Hill over Brian Robinson
Right: 3.8 to 3.1- Books imply
- 4.7
- fantasy pts
- IND D vs RB
- 39.1
- 3rd most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 46%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.8
- PPR pts
- PIT D vs RB
- 34.4
- 6th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 25%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 0%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 3.1
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Justice Hill over Brian Robinson in Week 1.
Justice Hill is priced by the books at 4.7 projected points. Brian Robinson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Justice Hill at ADP 202 and Brian Robinson at 211.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 4.7 fantasy points for Justice Hill, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Brian Robinson in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Justice Hill and BAL visit IND on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
IND allowed 39.1 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 3rd most in the league.
Running backs ran for 162 yards and 3 touchdowns against IND and caught passes for 29 more yards.
Brian Robinson and ATL visit PIT.
PIT allowed 34.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 114 yards and no touchdowns against PIT and caught passes for 90 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Justice Hill has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Justice Hill was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Brian Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Justice Hill played 10 games for BAL and scored 65.2 PPR points, 6.5 a game, finishing RB60.
He ran 18 times for 93 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 21 of 27 targets for 169 yards.
He was on the field for 37 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.
He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.
He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Brian Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 6 of 42 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.
Brian Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 11 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 3.8 PPR points.
Brian Robinson, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 10 of 66 snaps, 5 carries for 20 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.0 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Justice Hill scored 3.8 PPR points and Brian Robinson scored 3.1.
The call was right: Justice Hill outscored Brian Robinson by 0.7.
Justice Hill finished 0.9 points below the 4.7 the props implied.
Justice Hill, Week 1 against IND: 31 of 68 snaps, 6 carries for 18 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 10 yards, 3.8 PPR points.
Justice Hill finished as the week's RB51 in PPR scoring.
Brian Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 15 of 60 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.1 PPR points.
Brian Robinson finished as the week's RB55 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
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