Start Braelon Allen or Dylan Sampson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Dylan Sampson over Braelon Allen
Wrong: 0.0 to 4.0
- JAX D vs RB
- 12.6
- 8th fewest to RBs (2026)
- Scored
- 0.0
- PPR pts

- Books imply
- 0.8
- fantasy pts
- TEN D vs RB
- 23.8
- 15th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 40%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 4.0
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Dylan Sampson over Braelon Allen in Week 1.
Braelon Allen is priced by the books at 0.8 projected points and Dylan Sampson is not priced at all, so we are leaning on where drafters take them. Drafters take Dylan Sampson at ADP 182 and Braelon Allen at 185.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Dylan Sampson in Week 1.
Player prop markets imply 0.8 fantasy points for Braelon Allen, with 30 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Week 1 matchups
Dylan Sampson and CLE visit JAX.
JAX allowed 12.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Running backs ran for 34 yards and no touchdowns against JAX and caught passes for 42 more yards.
Braelon Allen and NYJ visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Braelon Allen has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Dylan Sampson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Braelon Allen was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.
He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.
He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Dylan Sampson, Week 18 of 2025 against CIN: 10 carries for 32 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 6.4 PPR points.
Dylan Sampson, Week 17 of 2025 against PIT: 18 of 52 snaps, 11 carries for 27 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 0 yards, 5.7 PPR points.
In 2025, Braelon Allen played 4 games for NYJ and scored 15.3 PPR points, 3.8 a game, finishing RB100.
He ran 18 times for 76 yards and 1 touchdown, and caught 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards.
He was on the field for 24 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
How Week 1 went
Dylan Sampson scored 0.0 PPR points and Braelon Allen scored 4.0.
The call was wrong: Braelon Allen outscored Dylan Sampson by 4.0.
Dylan Sampson, Week 1 against JAX: 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.
Braelon Allen finished 3.2 points above the 0.8 the props implied.
Braelon Allen, Week 1 against TEN: 27 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 40 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4.0 PPR points.
Braelon Allen finished as the week's RB50 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB39 · NYJ · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 1-3
- Overall rank
- 155
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
Ranked behind
RB58 · CLE · bye 11
2025 vs anytime td line 2-13
- Overall rank
- 239
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 13
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board84
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 10 and tier 13
- Board size244 draftable players
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