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Start Brian Robinson or Tank Bigsby? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Tank Bigsby over Brian Robinson

Wrong: 0.3 to 3.1
Start

Tank Bigsby

RB · PHI · vs WAS

Books imply
1.2
fantasy pts
WAS D vs RB
11.5
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
11%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
0.3
PPR pts
Sit

Brian Robinson

RB · ATL · at PIT

PIT D vs RB
34.4
6th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
25%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
3.1
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Tank Bigsby over Brian Robinson in Week 1.

Tank Bigsby is priced by the books at 1.2 projected points. Brian Robinson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Tank Bigsby at ADP 189 and Brian Robinson at 191. Market coverage on Tank Bigsby is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 1.2 fantasy points for Tank Bigsby, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Brian Robinson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Tank Bigsby and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 11.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 90 yards and no touchdowns against WAS and caught passes for 5 more yards.

Brian Robinson and ATL visit PIT.

PIT allowed 34.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 114 yards and no touchdowns against PIT and caught passes for 90 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Brian Robinson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Tank Bigsby was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Brian Robinson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tank Bigsby played 17 games for PHI and scored 53.8 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB69.

He ran 63 times for 356 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tank Bigsby, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 16 carries for 75 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.6 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 5 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.9 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 8 of 70 snaps, 4 carries for 37 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Brian Robinson played 17 games for SF and scored 62.5 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing RB63.

He ran 92 times for 400 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 8 of 12 targets for 25 yards.

He was on the field for 17 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brian Robinson, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 6 of 42 snaps, 2 carries for 9 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.9 PPR points.

Brian Robinson, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 11 of 72 snaps, 4 carries for 22 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 6 yards, 3.8 PPR points.

Brian Robinson, Week 16 of 2025 against IND: 10 of 66 snaps, 5 carries for 20 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.0 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Tank Bigsby scored 0.3 PPR points and Brian Robinson scored 3.1.

The call was wrong: Brian Robinson outscored Tank Bigsby by 2.8.

Tank Bigsby finished 0.9 points below the 1.2 the props implied.

Tank Bigsby, Week 1 against WAS: 6 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.3 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby finished as the week's RB74 in PPR scoring.

Brian Robinson, Week 1 against PIT: 15 of 60 snaps, 9 carries for 31 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 3.1 PPR points.

Brian Robinson finished as the week's RB55 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB45 · ATL · bye 11

2025 vs rush yds line 7-10

Overall rank
169
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB47 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Overall rank
177
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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