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Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. or Tank Bigsby? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tank Bigsby

Right: 2.3 to 0.3
Start

Chris Rodriguez Jr.

RB · JAX · vs CLE

Books imply
4.3
fantasy pts
CLE D vs RB
16.3
11th fewest to RBs (2026)
Scored
2.3
PPR pts
Sit

Tank Bigsby

RB · PHI · vs WAS

WAS D vs RB
11.5
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
11%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
0.3
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Chris Rodriguez Jr. over Tank Bigsby in Week 1.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. is priced by the books at 4.3 projected points. Tank Bigsby has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Chris Rodriguez Jr. at ADP 175 and Tank Bigsby at 182. Market coverage on Chris Rodriguez Jr. is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 4.3 fantasy points for Chris Rodriguez Jr., with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Tank Bigsby in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Chris Rodriguez Jr. and JAX host CLE on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

CLE allowed 16.3 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 11th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 121 yards and no touchdowns against CLE and caught passes for 22 more yards.

Tank Bigsby and PHI host WAS.

WAS allowed 11.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 90 yards and no touchdowns against WAS and caught passes for 5 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Chris Rodriguez Jr. has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Rodriguez Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tank Bigsby was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Tank Bigsby played 17 games for PHI and scored 53.8 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB69.

He ran 63 times for 356 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tank Bigsby, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 16 carries for 75 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.6 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 5 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.9 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 8 of 70 snaps, 4 carries for 37 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.7 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Chris Rodriguez Jr. scored 2.3 PPR points and Tank Bigsby scored 0.3.

The call was right: Chris Rodriguez Jr. outscored Tank Bigsby by 2.0.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished 2.0 points below the 4.3 the props implied.

Chris Rodriguez Jr., Week 1 against CLE: 23 of 57 snaps, 6 carries for 23 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 2.3 PPR points.

Chris Rodriguez Jr. finished as the week's RB62 in PPR scoring.

Tank Bigsby, Week 1 against WAS: 6 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.3 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby finished as the week's RB74 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB43 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs anytime td line 6-7

Overall rank
167
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB47 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Overall rank
177
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board10
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tiersboth in tier 10
  • Board size244 draftable players

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