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Start Tank Bigsby or Dylan Sampson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Dylan Sampson over Tank Bigsby

Wrong: 0.0 to 0.3
Start

Dylan Sampson

RB · CLE · at JAX

Books imply
0.9
fantasy pts
JAX D vs RB
12.6
8th fewest to RBs (2026)
Scored
0.0
PPR pts
Sit

Tank Bigsby

RB · PHI · vs WAS

WAS D vs RB
11.5
6th fewest to RBs (2026)
Snap share
11%
Week 1
Target share
0%
Week 1
Scored
0.3
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Dylan Sampson over Tank Bigsby in Week 1.

Dylan Sampson is priced by the books at 0.9 projected points. Tank Bigsby has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Dylan Sampson at ADP 184 and Tank Bigsby at 189. Market coverage on Dylan Sampson is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 0.9 fantasy points for Dylan Sampson, with 33 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Tank Bigsby in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Dylan Sampson and CLE visit JAX on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

JAX allowed 12.6 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 34 yards and no touchdowns against JAX and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Tank Bigsby and PHI host WAS.

WAS allowed 11.5 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 6th fewest in the league.

Running backs ran for 90 yards and no touchdowns against WAS and caught passes for 5 more yards.

By points allowed to the position, Dylan Sampson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Dylan Sampson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Tank Bigsby was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Dylan Sampson played 15 games for CLE and scored 87.6 PPR points, 5.8 a game, finishing RB55.

He ran 65 times for 175 yards and 0 touchdowns, and caught 33 of 40 targets for 271 yards.

He was on the field for 25 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Dylan Sampson, Week 18 of 2025 against CIN: 10 carries for 32 yards, 3 targets and 2 catches for 12 yards, 6.4 PPR points.

Dylan Sampson, Week 17 of 2025 against PIT: 18 of 52 snaps, 11 carries for 27 yards, 3 targets and 3 catches for 0 yards, 5.7 PPR points.

In 2025, Tank Bigsby played 17 games for PHI and scored 53.8 PPR points, 3.2 a game, finishing RB69.

He ran 63 times for 356 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 3 of 4 targets for 32 yards.

He was on the field for 10 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Tank Bigsby, Week 18 of 2025 against WAS: 16 carries for 75 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 31 yards, 1 touchdown, 17.6 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 5 of 54 snaps, 2 carries for 7 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 2 yards, 1.9 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 8 of 70 snaps, 4 carries for 37 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 9.7 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Dylan Sampson scored 0.0 PPR points and Tank Bigsby scored 0.3.

The call was wrong: Tank Bigsby outscored Dylan Sampson by 0.3.

Dylan Sampson finished 0.9 points below the 0.9 the props implied.

Dylan Sampson, Week 1 against JAX: 0 carries for 0 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Tank Bigsby, Week 1 against WAS: 6 of 55 snaps, 1 carry for 3 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 0.3 PPR points.

Tank Bigsby finished as the week's RB74 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB47 · PHI · bye 10

2025 vs anytime td line 2-14

Overall rank
177
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
10

Ranked behind

RB58 · CLE · bye 11

2025 vs anytime td line 2-13

Overall rank
239
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
13

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board62
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 10 and tier 13
  • Board size244 draftable players

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