Start Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams
- SF D vs QB
- 6.5
- 2nd fewest to QBs (2026)
- CAR D vs QB
- 37.3
- most to QBs (2026)
Our Week 1 call
Start Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams in Week 1.
Neither player has a posted player market for this week, so this call is ADP and news based rather than priced against the betting market. Drafters take Matthew Stafford at ADP 74 and Caleb Williams at 86.
What the books imply
No sportsbook posted a player market for Matthew Stafford in Week 1.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Caleb Williams in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Matthew Stafford and LAR host SF.
SF allowed 6.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 2nd fewest in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 168 yards and no touchdowns against SF, with an interception.
Caleb Williams and CHI visit CAR.
CAR allowed 37.3 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the most in the league.
Quarterbacks threw for 269 yards and 2 touchdowns against CAR, with no interceptions.
By points allowed to the position, Caleb Williams has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Matthew Stafford was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Caleb Williams was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Matthew Stafford played 17 games for LAR and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.
He completed 388 of 597 passes for 4707 yards, 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 29 times for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Matthew Stafford, Week 18 of 2025 against ARI: 25 of 40 passes for 259 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 1 carry for 3 yards, 26.7 PPR points.
Matthew Stafford, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 65 of 65 snaps, 22 of 38 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 3 interceptions, 15.8 PPR points.
Matthew Stafford, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 92 of 92 snaps, 29 of 49 passes for 457 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 6 yards, 30.9 PPR points.
In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.
He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Caleb Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 20 of 33 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards, 17.6 PPR points.
Caleb Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 66 of 66 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 330 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 18 yards, 23.0 PPR points.
Caleb Williams, Week 16 of 2025 against GB: 64 of 64 snaps, 19 of 34 passes for 250 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 30 yards, 21.0 PPR points.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
QB9 · CHI · bye 10
2025 vs pass yds line 10-7
- Overall rank
- 25
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 1
Ranked behind
QB24 · LAR · bye 11
2025 vs pass yds line 9-8
- Overall rank
- 62
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 3
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board37
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 1 and tier 3
- Board size244 draftable players
Drafting soon? Use the free live draft assistant
It reranks the board after every pick and shows who is falling past ADP at your slot. No sign in, nothing to install.
Open the draft assistant