Should I start Caleb Williams or Matthew Stafford in Week 9?
Updated Nov 3, 4:51 AM ET. Week 10 answers post Tuesday.
Latest
- : Matthew Stafford: Listed Questionable (Arm) (Sleeper injury feed)
Week 9 verdict
Start Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams
Stafford projects lower, 17.8 to 18.0, and still gets the call because it also weighs where drafters take each player: ADP 75 for Stafford, 87 for Williams.
- Market projects
- 17.8
- recent weeks avg
- WAS D vs QB
- 22.7
- 2nd most to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 98%
- Through Week 8
- Market projects
- 18.0
- recent weeks avg
- TB D vs QB
- 14.7
- 6th fewest to QBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 97%
- Through Week 7
Start Matthew Stafford: 100 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets over their last 3 games, against Caleb Williams's 95 percent of the snaps and 0 percent of the targets. No market projection is posted on either of them this week, so this is a usage call, and a lower confidence one than a call made on a projection. What follows is what each of them has done.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Caleb Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
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Your next move
More fantasy football tools and rankings, all built from the same board.
Neither man carries a season projection right now, so this is their usage this season and their last full season's numbers, side by side.
QB4 · CHI · bye 10
2026 vs pass yds line 4-1
- Market-based projection
- 17.6 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 8
QB29 · LAR · bye 11
2026 vs pass yds line 4-4
- Market-based projection
- 15.7 pts a game Wk 8 price
- Overall rank
- 179
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The gap
- Board size297 draftable players
Draft data is not current for these two, so the figures that depend on it are left out. The call above comes from each player's usage.
Where the draft room stands
Live drafts hold no current pick on Caleb Williams, and the board ranks him 8th overall on the rest of his evidence.
In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 9.
Live drafts hold no current pick on Matthew Stafford, and the board ranks him 179th overall on the rest of his evidence.
The market-based projections
No season market is posted for Caleb Williams, so the only market valuing him on this page is the draft room.
The market-based projection for Matthew Stafford is 0.3 PPR points a game off 1 market across 1 market source. That is 0 percent of what a quarterback's projection needs, so it is a fragment of one rather than a projection.
This season so far
Through Week 7, Caleb Williams has been on the field for 97 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 150 times and thrown 7.0 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 24 of 150 dropbacks and scrambled 14 times.
In Week 2 against MIN he completed 15 of 26 passes for 138 yards, threw 0 touchdowns and 1 interception and ran 5 times for 42 yards.
In Week 6 against ATL he completed 30 of 36 passes for 305 yards, threw 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions and ran 3 times for 4 yards.
In Week 7 against NE he completed 22 of 33 passes for 308 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 4 times for 19 yards.
Through Week 8, Matthew Stafford has been on the field for 98 percent of LAR snaps, dropped back 316 times and thrown 7.7 air yards an attempt.
He has been sacked or hit on 45 of 316 dropbacks and scrambled 4 times.
In Week 6 against ARI he completed 25 of 33 passes for 222 yards and threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.
In Week 7 against LV he completed 23 of 29 passes for 195 yards and threw 3 touchdowns and 1 interception.
In Week 8 against LAC he completed 17 of 25 passes for 157 yards and threw 1 touchdown and 1 interception.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025 Caleb Williams played 17 games and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.
He threw for 3942 yards on 568 attempts with 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.
That came to 33.4 attempts a game at 6.9 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
In 2025 Matthew Stafford played 17 games and scored 358.4 PPR points, 21.1 a game, finishing QB3.
He threw for 4707 yards on 597 attempts with 46 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran for 1 yards and 0 touchdowns.
That came to 35.1 attempts a game at 7.9 yards an attempt.
He was on the field for 99 percent of the snaps in the games he played.
Both were available for 17 games that season.
Head to head
In 2025 Matthew Stafford scored 21.1 PPR points a game and Caleb Williams 19.1, 2.0 a game between them.
Caleb Williams finished QB5 that year and Matthew Stafford QB3.
Matthew Stafford had 29 more pass attempts than Caleb Williams, 597 to 568.
Matthew Stafford had 765 more passing yards than Caleb Williams, 4707 to 3942.
This season Matthew Stafford holds the bigger snap share, 98 percent against 97 percent.
Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.
Byes and availability
Caleb Williams is off in Week 10 and Matthew Stafford in Week 11, so either can cover the other's bye.
Matthew Stafford is listed as questionable on the injury report.
Drop or keep
Should I drop Matthew Stafford for Caleb Williams?
Yes, on the rest of the season. Caleb Williams projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams. So make the move after his Week 9 game. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
Should I drop Caleb Williams for Matthew Stafford?
No. Keep Caleb Williams: he projects 148 market-implied PPR points from Week 9 through Week 17 (18.5 a game over 8 games), Matthew Stafford 129 (16.1 a game over 8 games). For Week 9 the call starts Matthew Stafford over Caleb Williams. Matthew Stafford is listed questionable.
Should I drop Matthew Stafford?
Both players in full
Week 9 on the board
- Is Caleb Williams playing Week 9?
- Is Matthew Stafford playing Week 9?
- Bears depth chart
- Rams depth chart
- Week 9 QB rankings
- Week 9 fantasy rankings
- Week 9 start or sit
- Week 9 waiver wire
- Week 9 trade value chart
- Trade deadline buy low, sell high
- Fantasy football rankings
- Start 'em sit 'em Week 9
- Waiver wire pickups
- Fantasy sleepers
- Rest of season rankings
- Week 9 kicker rankings
- Week 9 defense rankings
