Start Geno Smith or Cam Ward? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Geno Smith over Cam Ward in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Geno Smith at 13.4 points and Cam Ward at 13.3, a gap of 0.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 13.4 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Geno Smith at 221.5 passing yards, with a 12% chance to score a touchdown (13 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 13.3 fantasy points for Cam Ward, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Cam Ward at 190.5 passing yards and 11.5 rushing yards, with a 18% chance to score a touchdown (14, 11 and 15 books).

That puts Geno Smith 0.1 points ahead of Cam Ward on the books.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Cam Ward is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and threw an average of 6.6 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Through Week 2, Cam Ward played 100 percent of TEN snaps, dropped back 63 times and threw an average of 6.3 air yards per attempt.

Cam Ward, Week 1 against NYJ: 50 of 50 snaps, 19 of 32 passes for 140 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 21 yards.

Cam Ward, Week 2 against PHI: 53 of 53 snaps, 13 of 20 passes for 183 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 4 carries for 7 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith, Week 17 of 2025 against NYG: 53 of 59 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards, 9.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Cam Ward played 17 games for TEN and scored 193.7 PPR points, 11.4 a game, finishing QB22.

He completed 323 of 540 passes for 3169 yards, 15 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 39 times for 159 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Cam Ward, Week 18 of 2025 against JAX: 3 of 3 passes for 52 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 9.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Geno Smith.
• Start Bo Nix over Geno Smith.
• Start Aaron Rodgers over Cam Ward.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Cam Ward.
• Start Daniel Jones over Cam Ward.