Should I start Chase Brown or Derrick Henry in Week 10?

The market-based projections

Chase Brown's market-based projection is 15.0 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 37th highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 14.8 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 11 market sources. That is the 42nd highest figure of the 217 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Chase Brown, and the board ranks him 26th overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 5; 2QB: ADP 19.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 28th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 9

Through Week 9, Chase Brown has been on the field for 70 percent of CIN snaps, taken 60 percent of the carries, drawn 16 percent of the targets and had 22 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 8 of the offence's 68 third down targets, had 5 of its 20 chances inside the five and seen 9 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 45 targets have come 0.8 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against BAL he carried 11 times for 39 yards, caught 4 of 5 targets for 19 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against TEN he carried 12 times for 55 yards, caught 8 of 9 targets for 46 yards and did not score.

In Week 9 against ATL he carried 9 times for 57 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 18 yards and did not score.

Through Week 9, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 55 percent of BAL snaps, taken 68 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 72 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 49 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 9 against JAX he carried 17 times for 57 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Chase Brown played 17 games and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He carried 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 more yards.

That came to 13.6 carries a game at 4.4 yards a carry and 4.1 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Chase Brown scored 16.6 PPR points a game and Derrick Henry 16.4, 0.2 a game between them.

Chase Brown finished RB7 that year and Derrick Henry RB8.

Derrick Henry had 75 more carries than Chase Brown, 307 to 232.

Chase Brown had 54 more catches than Derrick Henry, 69 to 15.

This season Chase Brown holds the bigger snap share, 70 percent against 55 percent.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 68 percent against 60 percent.

Byes and availability

Chase Brown is off in Week 6 and Derrick Henry in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

0.1 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.