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Start Chase Brown or Jaylen Warren? Week 5

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Jaylen Warren over Chase Brown

Market projects
16.3
fantasy pts
Snap share
74%
Through Week 4
Target share
14%
Through Week 4
Sit

Chase Brown

RB · CIN · at MIA

Market projects
17.5
fantasy pts
MIA D vs RB
27.0
5th most to RBs (2026)
Snap share
73%
Through Week 4
Target share
15%
Through Week 4

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Our Week 5 call

Start Jaylen Warren over Chase Brown in Week 5.

Market-based projections have Jaylen Warren at 16.3 points and Chase Brown at 17.5, a gap of 1.3. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

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What the market projects

Player markets imply 17.5 fantasy points for Chase Brown, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Chase Brown at 67.5 rushing yards, 20.5 receiving yards and 3.5 receptions, with a 58% chance to score a touchdown (16, 13, 11 and 17 market sources).

Player markets imply 16.3 fantasy points for Jaylen Warren, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.

The market has Jaylen Warren at 69.5 rushing yards, 18.5 receiving yards and 2.5 receptions, with a 55% chance to score a touchdown (16, 15, 15 and 17 market sources).

That puts Chase Brown 1.3 points ahead of Jaylen Warren on the market projections.

Week 5 matchups

Chase Brown and CIN visit MIA on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIA allowed 27.0 fantasy points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th most in the league.

Running backs ran for 100 yards and 0.8 touchdowns a game against MIA and caught passes for 42 more yards.

Injury status

Chase Brown is not on the injury report.

Jaylen Warren is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 5

Through Week 4, Chase Brown played 73 percent of CIN snaps, took 72 percent of the carries, drew 15 percent of the targets and had 26 percent of the red zone chances.

Chase Brown, Week 1 against TB: 46 of 64 snaps, 16 carries for 56 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 22 yards, 1 touchdown.

Chase Brown, Week 2 against HOU: 42 of 60 snaps, 20 carries for 80 yards, 5 targets and 3 catches for 2 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 3 against PIT: 40 of 57 snaps, 13 carries for 61 yards, 2 targets and 2 catches for 8 yards.

Chase Brown, Week 4 against JAX: 60 of 76 snaps, 9 carries for 10 yards, 11 targets and 11 catches for 71 yards.

Through Week 4, Jaylen Warren played 74 percent of PIT snaps, took 68 percent of the carries, drew 14 percent of the targets and had 29 percent of the red zone chances.

Jaylen Warren, Week 1 against ATL: 25 of 67 snaps, 10 carries for 46 yards, 6 targets and 5 catches for 27 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 2 against NE: 50 of 70 snaps, 11 carries for 43 yards, 4 targets and 2 catches for 34 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 3 against CIN: 56 of 62 snaps, 17 carries for 127 yards, 4 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards.

Jaylen Warren, Week 4 against CLE: 70 of 72 snaps, 17 carries for 93 yards, 6 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chase Brown played 17 games for CIN and scored 282.6 PPR points, 16.6 a game, finishing RB7.

He ran 232 times for 1019 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 69 of 88 targets for 437 yards.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

In 2025, Jaylen Warren played 16 games for PIT and scored 217.1 PPR points, 13.6 a game, finishing RB17.

He ran 211 times for 958 yards and 6 touchdowns, and caught 40 of 45 targets for 333 yards.

He was on the field for 51 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Their other Week 5 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

RB7 · CIN · bye 6

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
14
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

Ranked behind

RB9 · PIT · bye unlisted

2026 vs carries line 2-2

Overall rank
22
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
6

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 5, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board8
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 5 and tier 6
  • Board size280 draftable players

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Week 5 on the board

Elsewhere on the board