Start Chris Olave or Justin Jefferson? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Justin Jefferson at 16.2 points and Chris Olave at 17.3, a gap of 1.1. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Justin Jefferson's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Justin Jefferson at ADP 4 and Chris Olave at 10.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.3 fantasy points for Chris Olave, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Chris Olave at 78.5 receiving yards and 6.5 receptions, with a 40% chance to score a touchdown (14, 10 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 16.2 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Justin Jefferson at 69.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 38% chance to score a touchdown (14, 12 and 15 books).

That puts Chris Olave 1.1 points ahead of Justin Jefferson on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Chris Olave and NO host LV on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

LV allowed 20.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 4th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 140 yards and no touchdowns a game against LV.

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit TB on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

TB allowed 24.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 117 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against TB.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Jefferson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Chris Olave is not on the injury report.

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Chris Olave played 85 percent of NO snaps, drew 27 percent of the targets, earned 49 percent of the air yards and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

Chris Olave, Week 1 against DET: 77 of 90 snaps, 13 targets and 10 catches for 182 yards.

Chris Olave, Week 2 against BAL: 57 of 68 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 86 yards, 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Justin Jefferson played 96 percent of MIN snaps, drew 36 percent of the targets, earned 51 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Chris Olave played 16 games for NO and scored 269.0 PPR points, 16.8 a game, finishing WR6.

He caught 100 of 156 targets for 1163 yards and 9 touchdowns, with 13 red zone targets and 874 air yards.

He was on the field for 84 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Chris Olave, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 49 of 54 snaps, 11 targets and 8 catches for 119 yards, 1 touchdown, 25.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson, Week 18 of 2025 against GB: 1 carry for 3 yards, 11 targets and 8 catches for 101 yards, 18.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Amon-Ra St. Brown over Chris Olave.
• Start CeeDee Lamb over Chris Olave.
• Start Davante Adams over Chris Olave.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Christian Watson.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Davante Adams.
• Start Justin Jefferson over DeVonta Smith.