Start Davante Adams or Justin Jefferson? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Justin Jefferson over Davante Adams in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Justin Jefferson at 15.4 points and Davante Adams at 16.8, a gap of 1.4. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Davante Adams, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Davante Adams at 75.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 46% chance to score a touchdown (7, 6 and 15 books).

Player prop markets imply 15.4 fantasy points for Justin Jefferson, with 100 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.

The books have Justin Jefferson at 69.5 receiving yards and 5.5 receptions, with a 37% chance to score a touchdown (15, 13 and 15 books).

That puts Davante Adams 1.4 points ahead of Justin Jefferson on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Justin Jefferson and MIN visit TB on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

TB allowed 24.9 fantasy points a game to WRs this season over 2 games, the 8th fewest in the league.

Receivers caught passes for 117 yards and 0.5 touchdowns a game against TB.

Injury status

Davante Adams is not on the injury report.

Justin Jefferson is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Davante Adams played 59 percent of LAR snaps, drew 28 percent of the targets, earned 46 percent of the air yards and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

Davante Adams, Week 1 against SF: 33 of 61 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards.

Davante Adams, Week 2 against NYG: 40 of 62 snaps, 10 targets and 8 catches for 195 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Through Week 2, Justin Jefferson played 96 percent of MIN snaps, drew 36 percent of the targets, earned 51 percent of the air yards and had 21 percent of the red zone chances.

Justin Jefferson, Week 1 against GB: 60 of 65 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 92 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Justin Jefferson, Week 2 against CHI: 52 of 52 snaps, 6 targets and 3 catches for 55 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Davante Adams played 14 games for LAR and scored 222.9 PPR points, 15.9 a game, finishing WR9.

He caught 60 of 114 targets for 789 yards and 14 touchdowns, with 31 red zone targets and 671 air yards.

He was on the field for 70 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Davante Adams, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 33 of 72 snaps, 9 targets and 4 catches for 71 yards, 11.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Justin Jefferson played 17 games for MIN and scored 201.5 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR21.

He caught 84 of 141 targets for 1048 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 17 red zone targets and 597 air yards.

He was on the field for 95 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Jefferson, Week 18 of 2025 against GB: 1 carry for 3 yards, 11 targets and 8 catches for 101 yards, 18.4 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Adonai Mitchell over Davante Adams.
• Start Davante Adams over Chris Olave.
• Start Deebo Samuel Sr. over Davante Adams.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Chris Olave.
• Start Justin Jefferson over Christian Watson.
• Start Justin Jefferson over DeVonta Smith.