Jahmyr Gibbs or Derrick Henry: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Jahmyr Gibbs at 24.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 1st highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

The player markets price Derrick Henry at 18.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 11th highest figure of the 175 players the books price.

Where the draft room has them

Jahmyr Gibbs goes at ADP 1, an average pick of 1.2, and the board has him RB1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 1 and his latest 2, a standard deviation of 0.4 picks.

He appears in 571 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

Over 14 days his average pick has not moved a full pick either way.

By format he goes standard: ADP 1; 2QB: ADP 1.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Derrick Henry: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 8th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 12.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Jahmyr Gibbs has been on the field for 78 percent of DET snaps, taken 85 percent of the carries, drawn 17 percent of the targets and had 48 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 18 third down targets, had 5 of its 9 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 11 two minute targets.

His 13 targets have averaged 2.3 air yards.

In Week 1 against NO he carried 29 times for 156 yards, caught 5 of 5 targets for 30 yards and scored 2 touchdowns.

In Week 2 against BUF he carried 16 times for 52 yards, caught 6 of 8 targets for 61 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 2, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 54 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 8 percent of the targets and had 65 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 0 of the offence's 13 third down targets, had 3 of its 5 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 13 two minute targets.

His 4 targets have come 3.5 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 1 against IND he carried 24 times for 144 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 19 yards and scored 3 touchdowns.

In Week 2 against NO he carried 16 times for 68 yards, caught 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Jahmyr Gibbs played 17 games and scored 366.9 PPR points, 21.6 a game, finishing RB3.

He carried 243 times for 1223 yards and 13 touchdowns, and caught 77 of 94 targets for 616 more yards.

That came to 14.3 carries a game at 5.0 yards a carry and 4.5 catches a game.

He was on the field for 67 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Both were available for 17 games that season.

Head to head

In 2025 Jahmyr Gibbs scored 21.6 PPR points a game and Derrick Henry 16.4, 5.1 a game between them.

Jahmyr Gibbs finished RB3 that year and Derrick Henry RB8.

Derrick Henry had 64 more carries than Jahmyr Gibbs, 307 to 243.

Jahmyr Gibbs had 62 more catches than Derrick Henry, 77 to 15.

This season Jahmyr Gibbs holds the bigger snap share, 78 percent against 54 percent.

This season Jahmyr Gibbs holds the bigger share of the carries, 85 percent against 71 percent.

Byes and availability

Jahmyr Gibbs is off in Week 6 and Derrick Henry in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

5.8 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.