Start Saquon Barkley or Derrick Henry? Week 2
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Derrick Henry over Saquon Barkley

- Books imply
- 24.5
- fantasy pts
- NO D vs RB
- 36.4
- 5th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 54%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 4%
- Through Week 1

- Books imply
- 14.9
- fantasy pts
- TEN D vs RB
- 23.8
- 15th most to RBs (2026)
- Snap share
- 71%
- Through Week 1
- Target share
- 9%
- Through Week 1
Our Week 2 call
Start Derrick Henry over Saquon Barkley in Week 2.
De-vigged player props project Derrick Henry at 24.5 points and Saquon Barkley at 14.9, a gap of 9.6. Derrick Henry's number is scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Derrick Henry at ADP 7 and Saquon Barkley at 10. Market coverage on Derrick Henry is 70 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 24.5 fantasy points for Derrick Henry, with 70 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
Player prop markets imply 14.9 fantasy points for Saquon Barkley, with 100 percent of the markets a RB needs posted.
That puts Derrick Henry 9.6 points ahead of Saquon Barkley on the books.
Week 2 matchups
Derrick Henry and BAL host NO on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
NO allowed 36.4 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 163 yards and 2 touchdowns against NO and caught passes for 41 more yards.
Saquon Barkley and PHI visit TEN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
TEN allowed 23.8 fantasy points to RBs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.
Running backs ran for 142 yards and a touchdown against TEN and caught passes for 16 more yards.
By points allowed to the position, Derrick Henry has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Derrick Henry is not on the injury report.
Saquon Barkley is not on the injury report.
Usage before Week 2
Through Week 1, Derrick Henry played 54 percent of BAL snaps, took 71 percent of the carries, drew 4 percent of the targets and had 55 percent of the red zone chances.
Derrick Henry, Week 1 against IND: 37 of 68 snaps, 24 carries for 144 yards, 1 target and 1 catch for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns.
Through Week 1, Saquon Barkley played 71 percent of PHI snaps, took 65 percent of the carries, drew 9 percent of the targets and had 33 percent of the red zone chances.
Saquon Barkley, Week 1 against WAS: 39 of 55 snaps, 15 carries for 83 yards, 2 targets and 1 catch for -3 yards.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Derrick Henry played 17 games for BAL and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.
He ran 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 yards.
He was on the field for 54 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Derrick Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against PIT: 20 carries for 126 yards, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards, 12.6 PPR points.
Derrick Henry, Week 17 of 2025 against GB: 48 of 76 snaps, 36 carries for 216 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 4 touchdowns, 45.6 PPR points.
In 2025, Saquon Barkley played 16 games for PHI and scored 232.3 PPR points, 14.5 a game, finishing RB14.
He ran 280 times for 1140 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 37 of 50 targets for 273 yards.
He was on the field for 78 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Saquon Barkley, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 43 of 54 snaps, 19 carries for 68 yards, 0 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 6.8 PPR points.
Saquon Barkley, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 54 of 70 snaps, 21 carries for 132 yards, 2 targets and 0 catches for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 21.2 PPR points.
Their other Week 2 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
RB2 · PHI · bye 10
2025 vs rush yds line 4-12
- Overall rank
- 3
- Draft pick
- ADP 3
- Tier
- 2
Ranked behind
RB19 · BAL · bye 13
2025 vs rush yds line 6-11
- Overall rank
- 46
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 4
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board43
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 2 and tier 4
- Board size244 draftable players
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