Should I start Saquon Barkley or Derrick Henry in Week 9?

The market-based projections

Saquon Barkley's market-based projection is 12.6 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 10 market sources. That is the 66th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Derrick Henry's market-based projection is 12.4 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 14 market sources. That is the 67th highest figure of the 225 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Live drafts hold no current pick on Saquon Barkley, and the board ranks him 42nd overall on the rest of his evidence.

By format he goes standard: ADP 3; 2QB: ADP 14.

Live drafts hold no current pick on Derrick Henry, and the board ranks him 45th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 8

Through Week 8, Saquon Barkley has been on the field for 33 percent of PHI snaps, taken 36 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 20 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 53 third down targets, had 4 of its 13 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 41 two minute targets.

His 10 targets have averaged 1.3 air yards.

In Week 4 against LAR he carried 2 times for 8 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against DAL he carried 7 times for 62 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 9 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

In Week 8 against WAS he carried 13 times for 30 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 24 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Through Week 8, Derrick Henry has been on the field for 56 percent of BAL snaps, taken 71 percent of the carries, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 51 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 1 of the offence's 66 third down targets, had 16 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 0 of its 47 two minute targets.

His 14 targets have come 2.4 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 6 against CLE he carried 17 times for 58 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for 2 yards and did not score.

In Week 7 against CIN he carried 17 times for 45 yards, caught 1 of 2 targets for 4 yards and did not score.

In Week 8 against BUF he carried 11 times for 53 yards, caught 2 of 2 targets for 7 yards and scored 1 touchdown.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Saquon Barkley played 16 games and scored 232.3 PPR points, 14.5 a game, finishing RB14.

He carried 280 times for 1140 yards and 7 touchdowns, and caught 37 of 50 targets for 273 more yards.

That came to 17-18 carries a game at 4.1 yards a carry and 2.3 catches a game.

He was on the field for 78 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Derrick Henry played 17 games and scored 279.5 PPR points, 16.4 a game, finishing RB8.

He carried 307 times for 1595 yards and 16 touchdowns, and caught 15 of 21 targets for 150 more yards.

That came to 18.1 carries a game at 5.2 yards a carry and 0.9 catches a game.

He was on the field for 54 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Derrick Henry was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Derrick Henry scored 16.4 PPR points a game and Saquon Barkley 14.5, 1.9 a game between them.

Saquon Barkley finished RB14 that year and Derrick Henry RB8.

Derrick Henry had 27 more carries than Saquon Barkley, 307 to 280.

Saquon Barkley had 22 more catches than Derrick Henry, 37 to 15.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger snap share, 56 percent against 33 percent.

This season Derrick Henry holds the bigger share of the carries, 71 percent against 36 percent.

Byes and availability

Saquon Barkley is off in Week 10 and Derrick Henry in Week 13, so either can cover the other's bye.

Saquon Barkley is listed as questionable on the injury report.

What would change the answer

0.2 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when live drafts hold these two again they can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the drafts rather than the market-based projection when they do.