Start Geno Smith or Kirk Cousins? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Geno Smith over Kirk Cousins in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Geno Smith at 16.8 points and Kirk Cousins at 15.9, a gap of 0.9. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 16.8 fantasy points for Geno Smith, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Geno Smith at 222.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 11% chance to score a touchdown (14, 17 and 14 books).

Player prop markets imply 15.9 fantasy points for Kirk Cousins, with 80 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

The books have Kirk Cousins at 211.5 passing yards and 1.5 passing touchdowns, with a 5% chance to score a touchdown (16, 16 and 15 books).

That puts Geno Smith 0.9 points ahead of Kirk Cousins on the books.

Injury status

Geno Smith is not on the injury report.

Kirk Cousins is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Geno Smith played 100 percent of NYJ snaps, dropped back 74 times and threw an average of 6.6 air yards per attempt.

Geno Smith, Week 1 against TEN: 67 of 67 snaps, 19 of 24 passes for 215 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 10 yards.

Geno Smith, Week 2 against GB: 74 of 74 snaps, 27 of 40 passes for 247 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 17 yards.

Through Week 2, Kirk Cousins played 100 percent of LV snaps, dropped back 63 times and threw an average of 8.6 air yards per attempt.

Kirk Cousins, Week 1 against MIA: 68 of 68 snaps, 21 of 30 passes for 160 yards, 3 touchdowns and 2 interceptions, 2 carries for 0 yards.

Kirk Cousins, Week 2 against LAC: 63 of 63 snaps, 19 of 29 passes for 253 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 4 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Geno Smith played 15 games for LV and scored 190.9 PPR points, 12.7 a game, finishing QB23.

He completed 302 of 448 passes for 3025 yards, 19 touchdowns and 17 interceptions, and ran 41 times for 109 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Geno Smith, Week 17 of 2025 against NYG: 53 of 59 snaps, 20 of 28 passes for 176 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 1 carry for 1 yards, 9.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Kirk Cousins played 10 games for ATL and scored 108.5 PPR points, 10.9 a game, finishing QB35.

He completed 166 of 269 passes for 1721 yards, 10 touchdowns and 5 interceptions, and ran 14 times for 7 yards and 1 touchdown.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Kirk Cousins, Week 18 of 2025 against NO: 18 of 32 passes for 180 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 3 carries for 0 yards, 10.2 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Geno Smith over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Geno Smith.
• Start Bo Nix over Geno Smith.
• Start Kirk Cousins over Aaron Rodgers.
• Start Baker Mayfield over Kirk Cousins.
• Start Bo Nix over Kirk Cousins.