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Start Hunter Henry or Terrance Ferguson? Week 1

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Hunter Henry over Terrance Ferguson

Right: 5.6 to 0.0
Start

Hunter Henry

TE · NE · at SEA

Books imply
2.6
fantasy pts
SEA D vs TE
12.8
15th most to TEs (2026)
Snap share
76%
Week 1
Target share
10%
Week 1
Scored
5.6
PPR pts
Sit

Terrance Ferguson

TE · LAR · vs SF

SF D vs TE
5.1
4th fewest to TEs (2026)
Snap share
51%
Week 1
Target share
4%
Week 1
Scored
0.0
PPR pts

Our Week 1 call

Start Hunter Henry over Terrance Ferguson in Week 1.

Hunter Henry is priced by the books at 2.6 projected points. Terrance Ferguson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Hunter Henry at ADP 171 and Terrance Ferguson at 206. Market coverage on Hunter Henry is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 2.6 fantasy points for Hunter Henry, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Terrance Ferguson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Hunter Henry and NE visit SEA on Wednesday at 8:20 PM ET.

SEA allowed 12.8 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 15th most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 28 yards and a touchdown against SEA.

Terrance Ferguson and LAR host SF.

SF allowed 5.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Hunter Henry has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Hunter Henry was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Terrance Ferguson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Hunter Henry played 17 games for NE and scored 178.8 PPR points, 10.5 a game, finishing TE9.

He caught 60 of 87 targets for 768 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 22 red zone targets and 433 air yards.

He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Hunter Henry, Week 18 of 2025 against MIA: 5 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards, 10.6 PPR points.

Hunter Henry, Week 17 of 2025 against NYJ: 43 of 66 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 49 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.9 PPR points.

Hunter Henry, Week 16 of 2025 against BAL: 60 of 74 snaps, 7 targets and 6 catches for 35 yards, 1 touchdown, 15.5 PPR points.

In 2025, Terrance Ferguson played 14 games for LAR and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 191 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 32 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.4 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 70 of 92 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.3 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 56 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Hunter Henry scored 5.6 PPR points and Terrance Ferguson scored 0.0.

The call was right: Hunter Henry outscored Terrance Ferguson by 5.6.

Hunter Henry finished 3.0 points above the 2.6 the props implied.

Hunter Henry, Week 1 against SEA: 54 of 71 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 26 yards, 5.6 PPR points.

Hunter Henry finished as the week's TE25 in PPR scoring.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 1 against SF: 31 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 1 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

TE14 · NE · bye 11

2025 vs rec yds line 8-9

Overall rank
146
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
4

Ranked behind

TE21 · LAR · bye 11

2025 vs anytime td line 3-11

Overall rank
172
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
5

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board26
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 4 and tier 5
  • Board size244 draftable players

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