Josh Allen or Jalen Hurts: who should I start in Week 3?

What the sportsbooks price

The player markets price Josh Allen at 23.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 17 books. That is the 2nd highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

The player markets price Jalen Hurts at 19.2 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 15 books. That is the 9th highest figure of the 186 players the books price.

Where the draft room has them

Josh Allen goes at ADP 2, an average pick of 24.1, and the board has him QB1 in tier 1.

His earliest recorded pick is 2 and his latest 37, a standard deviation of 8.5 picks.

He appears in 529 recorded drafts across the formats the consensus sample covers.

Over 14 days drafters have taken Allen 8.6 picks earlier.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 2.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Jalen Hurts: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 55th overall on the rest of his evidence.

In 2QB drafts he goes at ADP 18.

This season through Week 2

Through Week 2, Josh Allen has been on the field for 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 70 times and thrown 10.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 11 of 70 dropbacks and scrambled 6 times.

In Week 1 against HOU he completed 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 24 yards.

In Week 2 against DET he completed 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 11 times for 72 yards.

Through Week 2, Jalen Hurts has been on the field for 100 percent of PHI snaps, dropped back 75 times and thrown 8.3 air yards an attempt.

He has been sacked or hit on 13 of 75 dropbacks and scrambled 7 times.

In Week 1 against WAS he completed 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, threw 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions and ran 5 times for 48 yards.

In Week 2 against TEN he completed 26 of 37 passes for 264 yards, threw 2 touchdowns and 2 interceptions and ran 5 times for 16 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Josh Allen played 17 games and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He threw for 3668 yards on 460 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

That came to 27.1 attempts a game at 8.0 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Jalen Hurts played 16 games and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He threw for 3224 yards on 454 attempts with 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

That came to 28.4 attempts a game at 7.1 yards an attempt.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen was available for 1 game more.

Head to head

In 2025 Josh Allen scored 22.0 PPR points a game and Jalen Hurts 19.1, 3.0 a game between them.

Josh Allen finished QB1 that year and Jalen Hurts QB8.

Josh Allen had 6 more pass attempts than Jalen Hurts, 460 to 454.

Josh Allen had 444 more passing yards than Jalen Hurts, 3668 to 3224.

Their snap share this season is the same, 100 percent each.

Their target share this season is the same, 0 percent each.

Byes and availability

Josh Allen is off in Week 7 and Jalen Hurts in Week 10, so either can cover the other's bye.

What would change the answer

4.2 points a game is the entire case. The books restate it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the price, and this page will follow the sample rather than the books when it does.