Start Josh Allen or Justin Herbert? Week 3

Our Week 3 call

Start Josh Allen over Justin Herbert in Week 3.

De-vigged player props project Josh Allen at 24.7 points and Justin Herbert at 17.6, a gap of 7.1. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Josh Allen at ADP 8 and Justin Herbert at 25.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 24.7 fantasy points for Josh Allen, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 17.6 fantasy points for Justin Herbert, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Josh Allen 7.1 points ahead of Justin Herbert on the books.

Week 3 matchups

Josh Allen and BUF host LAC on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

LAC allowed 18.9 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 2 games, the 12th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 265 yards and 2.0 touchdowns a game against LAC, with 0.5 interceptions.

Justin Herbert and LAC visit BUF on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

BUF allowed 23.1 fantasy points a game to QBs this season over 2 games, the 6th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 301 yards and 3.0 touchdowns a game against BUF, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Justin Herbert has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Josh Allen is not on the injury report.

Justin Herbert is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 3

Through Week 2, Josh Allen played 100 percent of BUF snaps, dropped back 70 times and threw an average of 10.3 air yards per attempt.

Josh Allen, Week 1 against HOU: 58 of 58 snaps, 20 of 29 passes for 334 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 24 yards.

Josh Allen, Week 2 against DET: 74 of 74 snaps, 20 of 31 passes for 248 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 11 carries for 72 yards.

Through Week 2, Justin Herbert played 100 percent of LAC snaps, dropped back 66 times and threw an average of 10.0 air yards per attempt.

Justin Herbert, Week 1 against ARI: 55 of 55 snaps, 17 of 27 passes for 209 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Justin Herbert, Week 2 against LV: 68 of 68 snaps, 15 of 27 passes for 192 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Josh Allen played 17 games for BUF and scored 374.6 PPR points, 22.0 a game, finishing QB1.

He completed 319 of 460 passes for 3668 yards, 25 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 112 times for 579 yards and 14 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Josh Allen, Week 18 of 2025 against NYJ: 0 of 0 passes for 0 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions.

In 2025, Justin Herbert played 16 games for LAC and scored 299.9 PPR points, 18.7 a game, finishing QB10.

He completed 340 of 512 passes for 3727 yards, 26 touchdowns and 13 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 498 yards and 2 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 97 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Justin Herbert, Week 17 of 2025 against HOU: 63 of 63 snaps, 21 of 32 passes for 236 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 6 carries for 37 yards, 16.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 3 calls

• Start Josh Allen over Brock Purdy.
• Start Josh Allen over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Josh Allen over Lamar Jackson.
• Start Bryce Young over Justin Herbert.
• Start C.J. Stroud over Justin Herbert.
• Start Dak Prescott over Justin Herbert.