Start Jalen Hurts or Trevor Lawrence? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Jalen Hurts over Trevor Lawrence in Week 1.

Jalen Hurts is priced by the books at 11.4 projected points. Trevor Lawrence has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Jalen Hurts at ADP 76 and Trevor Lawrence at 95. Market coverage on Jalen Hurts is 65 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 11.4 fantasy points for Jalen Hurts, with 65 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Trevor Lawrence in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Jalen Hurts and PHI host WAS on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

WAS allowed 24.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 8th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 203 yards and 3 touchdowns against WAS, with no interceptions.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX host CLE.

CLE allowed 25.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 5th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 245 yards and 4 touchdowns against CLE, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Jalen Hurts was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Trevor Lawrence was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Jalen Hurts played 16 games for PHI and scored 305.1 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB8.

He completed 294 of 454 passes for 3224 yards, 25 touchdowns and 6 interceptions, and ran 105 times for 421 yards and 8 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jalen Hurts, Week 17 of 2025 against BUF: 54 of 54 snaps, 13 of 27 passes for 110 yards, 1 touchdown and 0 interceptions, 3 carries for 5 yards, 8.9 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 16 of 2025 against WAS: 66 of 70 snaps, 22 of 30 passes for 185 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 40 yards, 19.4 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts, Week 15 of 2025 against LV: 52 of 69 snaps, 12 of 15 passes for 175 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 39 yards, 22.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 37 passes for 263 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 8 carries for 26 yards, 24.1 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 16 of 2025 against DEN: 70 of 70 snaps, 23 of 36 passes for 279 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 6 carries for 20 yards, 31.2 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Jalen Hurts scored 24.7 PPR points and Trevor Lawrence scored 26.1.

The call was wrong: Trevor Lawrence outscored Jalen Hurts by 1.4.

Jalen Hurts finished 13.3 points above the 11.4 the props implied.

Jalen Hurts, Week 1 against WAS: 55 of 55 snaps, 14 of 25 passes for 203 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 7 carries for 46 yards, 24.7 PPR points.

Jalen Hurts finished as the week's QB8 in PPR scoring.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards, 26.1 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence finished as the week's QB5 in PPR scoring.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Caleb Williams over Jalen Hurts.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Dak Prescott.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Bo Nix.
• Start Brock Purdy over Trevor Lawrence.
• Start Caleb Williams over Trevor Lawrence.