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Start Trevor Lawrence or Jared Goff? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Trevor Lawrence over Jared Goff

Start

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at DEN

Books imply
17.8
fantasy pts
DEN D vs QB
22.7
9th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
88%
Through Week 1
Sit

Jared Goff

QB · DET · at BUF

Books imply
17.1
fantasy pts
BUF D vs QB
16.5
16th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Trevor Lawrence over Jared Goff in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Trevor Lawrence at 17.8 points and Jared Goff at 17.1, a gap of 0.8. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Trevor Lawrence at ADP 94 and Jared Goff at 101.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.8 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 17.1 fantasy points for Jared Goff, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Trevor Lawrence 0.8 points ahead of Jared Goff on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 22.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 184 yards and 2 touchdowns against DEN, with an interception.

Jared Goff and DET visit BUF on Thursday at 8:15 PM ET.

BUF allowed 16.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 16th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 274 yards and 2 touchdowns against BUF, with no interceptions.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Jared Goff is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Trevor Lawrence played 88 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 24 times and threw an average of 10.5 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 1, Jared Goff played 100 percent of DET snaps, dropped back 41 times and threw an average of 5.3 air yards per attempt.

Jared Goff, Week 1 against NO: 77 of 77 snaps, 26 of 39 passes for 206 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 2 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 37 passes for 263 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 8 carries for 26 yards, 24.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Jared Goff played 17 games for DET and scored 305.1 PPR points, 17.9 a game, finishing QB9.

He completed 393 of 578 passes for 4564 yards, 34 touchdowns and 8 interceptions, and ran 19 times for 45 yards and 0 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Jared Goff, Week 18 of 2025 against CHI: 27 of 42 passes for 331 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 16.2 PPR points.

Jared Goff, Week 17 of 2025 against MIN: 64 of 64 snaps, 18 of 29 passes for 197 yards, 1 touchdown and 2 interceptions, 3 carries for 2 yards, 4.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB15 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Overall rank
37
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB32 · DET · bye 6

2025 vs pass yds line 10-7

Overall rank
199
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
8

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board162
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 8
  • Board size244 draftable players

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