Start Caleb Williams or Trevor Lawrence? Week 2

Our Week 2 call

Start Caleb Williams over Trevor Lawrence in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Caleb Williams at 19.4 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.8, a gap of 1.5. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Caleb Williams at ADP 85 and Trevor Lawrence at 94.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 19.4 fantasy points for Caleb Williams, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 17.8 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Caleb Williams 1.5 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Caleb Williams and CHI host MIN on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

MIN allowed 20.5 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 11th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 387 yards and 2 touchdowns against MIN, with an interception.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 22.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 184 yards and 2 touchdowns against DEN, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Caleb Williams is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Caleb Williams played 100 percent of CHI snaps, dropped back 38 times and threw an average of 11.0 air yards per attempt.

Caleb Williams, Week 1 against CAR: 75 of 75 snaps, 21 of 29 passes for 269 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 10 carries for 65 yards.

Through Week 1, Trevor Lawrence played 88 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 24 times and threw an average of 10.5 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Caleb Williams played 17 games for CHI and scored 325.2 PPR points, 19.1 a game, finishing QB5.

He completed 330 of 568 passes for 3942 yards, 27 touchdowns and 7 interceptions, and ran 77 times for 383 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 99 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Caleb Williams, Week 18 of 2025 against DET: 20 of 33 passes for 212 yards, 2 touchdowns and 1 interception, 1 carry for 1 yards, 17.6 PPR points.

Caleb Williams, Week 17 of 2025 against SF: 66 of 66 snaps, 25 of 42 passes for 330 yards, 2 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 5 carries for 18 yards, 23.0 PPR points.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 37 passes for 263 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 8 carries for 26 yards, 24.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Caleb Williams.
• Start Caleb Williams over Dak Prescott.
• Start Jalen Hurts over Caleb Williams.
• Start Bo Nix over Trevor Lawrence.
• Start Brock Purdy over Trevor Lawrence.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Jared Goff.