Start Bo Nix or Trevor Lawrence? Week 2

Our Week 2 call

Start Bo Nix over Trevor Lawrence in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Bo Nix at 18.5 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.8, a gap of 0.7. That is inside the noise of a single catch, so treat it as close to a coin flip. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Bo Nix at ADP 108 and Trevor Lawrence at 94.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 17.8 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 18.5 fantasy points for Bo Nix, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Bo Nix 0.7 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 22.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 184 yards and 2 touchdowns against DEN, with an interception.

Bo Nix and DEN host JAX on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

JAX allowed 15.0 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 12th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 205 yards and a touchdown against JAX, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Bo Nix is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Trevor Lawrence played 88 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 24 times and threw an average of 10.5 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Through Week 1, Bo Nix played 100 percent of DEN snaps, dropped back 33 times and threw an average of 3.3 air yards per attempt.

Bo Nix, Week 1 against KC: 51 of 51 snaps, 17 of 28 passes for 131 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 37 passes for 263 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 8 carries for 26 yards, 24.1 PPR points.

In 2025, Bo Nix played 17 games for DEN and scored 315.8 PPR points, 18.6 a game, finishing QB7.

He completed 388 of 612 passes for 3931 yards, 25 touchdowns and 11 interceptions, and ran 83 times for 356 yards and 5 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 100 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Bo Nix, Week 18 of 2025 against LAC: 14 of 23 passes for 141 yards, 0 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 8 carries for 49 yards, 10.5 PPR points.

Bo Nix, Week 17 of 2025 against KC: 72 of 72 snaps, 26 of 38 passes for 182 yards, 1 touchdown and 1 interception, 9 carries for 42 yards, 20.5 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

• Start Brock Purdy over Trevor Lawrence.
• Start Caleb Williams over Trevor Lawrence.
• Start Trevor Lawrence over Jared Goff.
• Start Bo Nix over Baker Mayfield.
• Start Brock Purdy over Bo Nix.
• Start Bo Nix over Jared Goff.