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Start Trevor Lawrence or Brock Purdy? Week 2

Locks at kickoff, graded after.

Start Brock Purdy over Trevor Lawrence

Start

Brock Purdy

QB · SF · vs MIA

Books imply
21.3
fantasy pts
MIA D vs QB
15.8
15th fewest to QBs (2026)
Snap share
100%
Through Week 1
Sit

Trevor Lawrence

QB · JAX · at DEN

Books imply
17.8
fantasy pts
DEN D vs QB
22.7
9th most to QBs (2026)
Snap share
88%
Through Week 1

Our Week 2 call

Start Brock Purdy over Trevor Lawrence in Week 2.

De-vigged player props project Brock Purdy at 21.3 points and Trevor Lawrence at 17.8, a gap of 3.4. Both numbers are scaled up from a partial market: the books have not posted every stat the position needs, so the rest is estimated from what they have. Drafters take Brock Purdy at ADP 88 and Trevor Lawrence at 94.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 21.3 fantasy points for Brock Purdy, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

Player prop markets imply 17.8 fantasy points for Trevor Lawrence, with 100 percent of the markets a QB needs posted.

That puts Brock Purdy 3.4 points ahead of Trevor Lawrence on the books.

Week 2 matchups

Brock Purdy and SF host MIA on Sunday at 4:25 PM ET.

MIA allowed 15.8 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 15th fewest in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 160 yards and 3 touchdowns against MIA, with 2 interceptions.

Trevor Lawrence and JAX visit DEN on Sunday at 4:05 PM ET.

DEN allowed 22.7 fantasy points to QBs in its one game this season, the 9th most in the league.

Quarterbacks threw for 184 yards and 2 touchdowns against DEN, with an interception.

By points allowed to the position, Trevor Lawrence has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Brock Purdy is not on the injury report.

Trevor Lawrence is not on the injury report.

Usage before Week 2

Through Week 1, Brock Purdy played 100 percent of SF snaps, dropped back 36 times and threw an average of 4.4 air yards per attempt.

Brock Purdy, Week 1 against LAR: 65 of 65 snaps, 25 of 34 passes for 205 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 5 carries for 29 yards.

Through Week 1, Trevor Lawrence played 88 percent of JAX snaps, dropped back 24 times and threw an average of 10.5 air yards per attempt.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 1 against CLE: 50 of 57 snaps, 18 of 23 passes for 245 yards, 4 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 3 yards.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Brock Purdy played 9 games for SF and scored 187.4 PPR points, 20.8 a game, finishing QB24.

He completed 197 of 284 passes for 2167 yards, 20 touchdowns and 10 interceptions, and ran 33 times for 147 yards and 3 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Brock Purdy, Week 18 of 2025 against SEA: 42 of 42 snaps, 19 of 27 passes for 127 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 2 carries for 21 yards, 6.2 PPR points.

Brock Purdy, Week 17 of 2025 against CHI: 72 of 72 snaps, 24 of 33 passes for 303 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception, 6 carries for 28 yards, 37.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Trevor Lawrence played 17 games for JAX and scored 350.2 PPR points, 20.6 a game, finishing QB4.

He completed 341 of 560 passes for 4007 yards, 29 touchdowns and 12 interceptions, and ran 82 times for 359 yards and 9 touchdowns.

He was on the field for 98 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 18 of 2025 against TEN: 22 of 30 passes for 255 yards, 3 touchdowns and 0 interceptions, 2 carries for 11 yards, 23.3 PPR points.

Trevor Lawrence, Week 17 of 2025 against IND: 69 of 69 snaps, 23 of 37 passes for 263 yards, 0 touchdowns and 1 interception, 8 carries for 26 yards, 24.1 PPR points.

Their other Week 2 calls

On the draft board

Ranked ahead

QB15 · JAX · bye 7

2025 vs pass yds line 8-9

Overall rank
37
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
1

Ranked behind

QB21 · SF · bye 8

2025 vs pass yds line 5-4

Overall rank
52
Draft pick
no consensus
Tier
2

The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 2, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.

The gap between them

  • Spots apart on the board15
  • Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
  • Tierstier 1 and tier 2
  • Board size244 draftable players

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