Start Juwan Johnson or Terrance Ferguson? Week 1

Our Week 1 call

Start Juwan Johnson over Terrance Ferguson in Week 1.

Juwan Johnson is priced by the books at 1.9 projected points. Terrance Ferguson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Juwan Johnson at ADP 172 and Terrance Ferguson at 206. Market coverage on Juwan Johnson is 33 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.

What the books imply

Player prop markets imply 1.9 fantasy points for Juwan Johnson, with 33 percent of the markets a TE needs posted.

No sportsbook posted a player market for Terrance Ferguson in Week 1.

Week 1 matchups

Juwan Johnson and NO visit DET on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.

DET allowed 27.7 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 2nd most in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 87 yards and 2 touchdowns against DET.

Terrance Ferguson and LAR host SF.

SF allowed 5.1 fantasy points to TEs in its one game this season, the 4th fewest in the league.

Tight ends caught passes for 31 yards and no touchdowns against SF.

By points allowed to the position, Juwan Johnson has the softer matchup.

Injury status

Juwan Johnson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Terrance Ferguson was not on the injury report when the call was made.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025, Juwan Johnson played 17 games for NO and scored 179.9 PPR points, 10.6 a game, finishing TE8.

He caught 77 of 102 targets for 889 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 8 red zone targets and 527 air yards.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Juwan Johnson, Week 18 of 2025 against ATL: 5 targets and 3 catches for 61 yards, 7.1 PPR points.

Juwan Johnson, Week 17 of 2025 against TEN: 39 of 54 snaps, 4 targets and 4 catches for 95 yards, 13.5 PPR points.

Juwan Johnson, Week 16 of 2025 against NYJ: 51 of 78 snaps, 9 targets and 8 catches for 89 yards, 16.9 PPR points.

In 2025, Terrance Ferguson played 14 games for LAR and scored 52.1 PPR points, 3.7 a game, finishing TE52.

He caught 11 of 25 targets for 231 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 3 red zone targets and 191 air yards.

He was on the field for 39 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 17 of 2025 against ATL: 32 of 65 snaps, 4 targets and 2 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.4 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 16 of 2025 against SEA: 70 of 92 snaps, 4 targets and 3 catches for 33 yards, 1 touchdown, 12.3 PPR points.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 15 of 2025 against DET: 56 of 72 snaps, 2 targets and 1 catch for 6 yards, 1.6 PPR points.

How Week 1 went

Juwan Johnson scored 14.4 PPR points and Terrance Ferguson scored 0.0.

The call was right: Juwan Johnson outscored Terrance Ferguson by 14.4.

Juwan Johnson finished 12.5 points above the 1.9 the props implied.

Juwan Johnson, Week 1 against DET: 76 of 90 snaps, 7 targets and 3 catches for 54 yards, 1 touchdown, 14.4 PPR points.

Juwan Johnson finished as the week's TE7 in PPR scoring.

Terrance Ferguson, Week 1 against SF: 31 of 61 snaps, 1 target and 0 catches for 0 yards.

Their other Week 1 calls

• Start Juwan Johnson over Brenton Strange.
• Start Juwan Johnson over Dalton Kincaid.
• Start Juwan Johnson over Hunter Henry.
• Start Brenton Strange over Terrance Ferguson.
• Start Terrance Ferguson over Chig Okonkwo.
• Start Dalton Kincaid over Terrance Ferguson.