Start Michael Pittman Jr. or Michael Wilson? Week 1
Locks at kickoff, graded after.
Start Michael Pittman Jr. over Michael Wilson
Wrong: 8.8 to 10.6- Books imply
- 3.9
- fantasy pts
- ATL D vs WR
- 22.4
- 8th fewest to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 88%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 8%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 8.8
- PPR pts
- LAC D vs WR
- 30.4
- 14th most to WRs (2026)
- Snap share
- 85%
- Week 1
- Target share
- 19%
- Week 1
- Scored
- 10.6
- PPR pts
Our Week 1 call
Start Michael Pittman Jr. over Michael Wilson in Week 1.
Michael Pittman Jr. is priced by the books at 3.9 projected points. Michael Wilson has no player market posted for this week, so his side of this call rests on consensus ADP and the news wire only. Drafters take Michael Pittman Jr. at ADP 74 and Michael Wilson at 76. Market coverage on Michael Pittman Jr. is 40 percent of what his position needs, so the market side of this carries proportionally less weight.
What the books imply
Player prop markets imply 3.9 fantasy points for Michael Pittman Jr., with 40 percent of the markets a WR needs posted.
No sportsbook posted a player market for Michael Wilson in Week 1.
Week 1 matchups
Michael Pittman Jr. and PIT host ATL on Sunday at 1:00 PM ET.
ATL allowed 22.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 8th fewest in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 124 yards and no touchdowns against ATL.
Michael Wilson and ARI visit LAC.
LAC allowed 30.4 fantasy points to WRs in its one game this season, the 14th most in the league.
Receivers caught passes for 164 yards and no touchdowns against LAC.
By points allowed to the position, Michael Wilson has the softer matchup.
Injury status
Michael Pittman Jr. was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Michael Wilson was not on the injury report when the call was made.
Their 2025 seasons
In 2025, Michael Pittman Jr. played 17 games for IND and scored 202.4 PPR points, 11.9 a game, finishing WR18.
He caught 80 of 111 targets for 784 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 12 red zone targets and 525 air yards.
He was on the field for 85 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 18 of 2025 against HOU: 4 targets and 2 catches for 11 yards, 3.1 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 17 of 2025 against JAX: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 16 yards, 3.6 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 16 of 2025 against SF: 56 of 60 snaps, 5 targets and 4 catches for 32 yards, 7.2 PPR points.
In 2025, Michael Wilson played 17 games for ARI and scored 220.6 PPR points, 13.0 a game, finishing WR10.
He caught 78 of 126 targets for 1006 yards and 7 touchdowns, with 15 red zone targets and 733 air yards.
He was on the field for 81 percent of the offense's snaps in the games he played.
Michael Wilson, Week 18 of 2025 against LAR: 8 targets and 5 catches for 99 yards, 1 touchdown, 20.9 PPR points.
Michael Wilson, Week 17 of 2025 against CIN: 49 of 57 snaps, 10 targets and 5 catches for 89 yards, 1 touchdown, 19.9 PPR points.
Michael Wilson, Week 16 of 2025 against ATL: 49 of 57 snaps, 3 targets and 2 catches for 52 yards, 1 touchdown, 13.2 PPR points.
How Week 1 went
Michael Pittman Jr. scored 8.8 PPR points and Michael Wilson scored 10.6.
The call was wrong: Michael Wilson outscored Michael Pittman Jr. by 1.8.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished 5.0 points above the 3.9 the props implied.
Michael Pittman Jr., Week 1 against ATL: 59 of 67 snaps, 3 targets and 3 catches for 58 yards, 8.8 PPR points.
Michael Pittman Jr. finished as the week's WR44 in PPR scoring.
Michael Wilson, Week 1 against LAC: 64 of 75 snaps, 7 targets and 5 catches for 56 yards, 10.6 PPR points.
Michael Wilson finished as the week's WR31 in PPR scoring.
Their other Week 1 calls
On the draft board
Ranked ahead
WR20 · PIT · bye 9
2025 vs rec yds line 5-12
- Overall rank
- 83
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 5
Ranked behind
WR75 · ARI · bye 14
2025 vs catches line 8-9
- Overall rank
- 196
- Draft pick
- no consensus
- Tier
- 10
The board cards are draft figures, not the week's call. Locks at kickoff, graded after. When the start/sit engine grades week 1, the call and the result appear on the public record, wrong ones included.
The gap between them
- Spots apart on the board113
- Pick differencenot comparable without a consensus on both
- Tierstier 5 and tier 10
- Board size244 draftable players
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