Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Puka Nacua? Close to even, 95 to 90.
Close to even. On rest-of-season value Aaron Jones Sr. is 95 and Puka Nacua is 90, a 5 point edge to Jones that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Jones rates 16.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Nacua 17.3 with 11. On usage, Jones has 65 percent of MIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Nacua has drawn 27 percent of LAR targets. Jones is on bye in Week 6; Nacua hosts ARI in Week 6 (6th most points allowed to WRs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (leg).
The verdict, Week 5
Close to even.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 16.5
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1 | 17.4 | 16.5 |
- Pts/game
- 17.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 11
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 3.0 | 17.3 | 21.5 |
Where the values come from
Jones is the 9th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.5 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 95.
Nacua is the 5th receiver on the chart and 15th overall. His 17.3 a game is 8.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 90.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 16.5 in Week 5, a median of 16.5 points a game, up 2.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Puka Nacua at 3.0 in Week 3, 17.3 in Week 4 and 21.5 in Week 5, a median of 17.3 points a game, up 18.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.5 a game less than the 16.5 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.
Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB5 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.
Puka Nacua has scored 40.1 PPR points in 2 games, 20.1 a game, 2.8 a game more than the 17.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR1 with 375.0 PPR points in 16 games, 23.4 a game.
Week 1 vs SF: 12.4 points (WR27 that week), 5 of 9 targets for 74 yards, 70 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs PHI: 27.7 points (WR5 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 12 targets for 125 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 18.0 carries for 74 yards and 3.8 targets and 2.3 catches for 17 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against MIA he had 20 carries and 8 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Puka Nacua has averaged 0.5 carries for 1 yard and 10.5 targets and 7.0 catches for 100 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 2 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 2 games.
In Week 4 against PHI he had 1 carry and 12 targets on 90 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Puka Nacua has 11 games with his bye in Week 11.
ARI, Nacua's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 6th most to WRs of 32.
Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Puka Nacua
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaxon Smith-Njigba95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Amon-Ra St. Brown95 vs 119
Aaron Jones Sr. for Derrick Henry95 vs 115
Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey95 vs 114- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Puka Nacua120 vs 90
- Jonathan Taylor for Puka Nacua120 vs 90
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Puka Nacua119 vs 90
- Derrick Henry for Puka Nacua115 vs 90
- Christian McCaffrey for Puka Nacua114 vs 90
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Puka Nacua?
It is close to even: Aaron Jones Sr. is 95 and Puka Nacua is 90 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Puka Nacua?
Aaron Jones Sr., 95 to 90. He rates 16.5 market points a game over 11 games left, against 17.3 over 11 for Puka Nacua, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number