Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Derrick Henry? Yes, Henry is worth 20 more.
Yes on value. Derrick Henry is worth 115 rest of season and Aaron Jones Sr. 95, so the side getting Henry gains 20. Jones rates 16.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Henry 18.4 with 11. On usage, Jones has 65 percent of MIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Henry has 73 percent of BAL carries and 7 percent of its targets. Jones is on bye in Week 6; Henry is at CLE in Week 6 (5th fewest points allowed to RBs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (leg).
The verdict, Week 5
Getting Derrick Henry wins by 20.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 16.5
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1 | 17.4 | 16.5 |
- Pts/game
- 18.4
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 13
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 18.4 | 18.6 | 15.6 |
Where the values come from
Jones is the 9th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.5 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 95.
Henry is the 5th running back on the chart and 7th overall. His 18.4 a game is 10.5 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 115.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 16.5 in Week 5, a median of 16.5 points a game, up 2.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Derrick Henry at 18.4 in Week 3, 18.6 in Week 4 and 15.6 in Week 5, a median of 18.4 points a game, down 2.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.5 a game less than the 16.5 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.
Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB5 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.
Derrick Henry has scored 111.8 PPR points in 5 games, 22.4 a game, 4.0 a game more than the 18.4 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB8 with 279.5 PPR points in 17 games, 16.4 a game.
Week 1 vs IND: 35.3 points (RB1 that week), 144 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 1 target for 19 yards, 3 touchdowns, 54 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs NO: 17.7 points (RB6 that week), 68 rushing yards on 16 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 19 yards, 1 touchdown, 53 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs DAL: 21.9 points (RB4 that week), 89 rushing yards on 26 carries, 1 of 1 target for 0 yards, 2 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs TEN: 15.9 points (RB21 that week), 73 rushing yards on 23 carries, 2 of 2 targets for 6 yards, 1 touchdown, 63 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs ATL: 21.0 points (RB4 that week), 102 rushing yards on 24 carries, 1 of 2 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 18.0 carries for 74 yards and 3.8 targets and 2.3 catches for 17 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against MIA he had 20 carries and 8 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Derrick Henry has averaged 22.3 carries for 94 yards and 1.8 targets and 1.8 catches for 11 yards a game on 59 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 23 times inside the 20, 55 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 7 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against TEN he had 23 carries and 2 targets on 63 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Derrick Henry has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.
CLE, Henry's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.7 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 5th fewest to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Aaron Jones Sr. would want about 20 more added to make it even: a player like Tyler Shough, valued at 19. Two players for Henry also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Derrick Henry
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaxon Smith-Njigba95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Amon-Ra St. Brown95 vs 119
Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey95 vs 114
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaylen Warren95 vs 102
Bijan Robinson for Derrick Henry154 vs 115
Derrick Henry for Kenneth Walker115 vs 145- Derrick Henry for Jaxon Smith-Njigba115 vs 120
- Derrick Henry for Jonathan Taylor115 vs 120
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Derrick Henry119 vs 115
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Derrick Henry?
Yes on value: Derrick Henry is worth 115 and Aaron Jones Sr. 95, a gain of 20. If Aaron Jones Sr. starts for you and Derrick Henry would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Derrick Henry?
Derrick Henry, 115 to 95. He rates 18.4 market points a game over 11 games left, against 16.5 over 11 for Aaron Jones Sr., each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number