Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaxon Smith-Njigba? Yes, Smith-Njigba is worth 25 more.
Yes on value. Jaxon Smith-Njigba is worth 120 rest of season and Aaron Jones Sr. 95, so the side getting Smith-Njigba gains 25. Jones rates 16.5 market points a game with 11 games left, Smith-Njigba 20.0 with 11. On usage, Jones has 65 percent of MIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; Smith-Njigba has drawn 37 percent of SEA targets. Jones is on bye in Week 6; Smith-Njigba is at DEN in Week 6 (9th fewest points allowed to WRs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (leg).
The verdict, Week 5
Getting Jaxon Smith-Njigba wins by 25.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 16.5
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1 | 17.4 | 16.5 |
- Pts/game
- 20.0
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 11
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 19.8 | 20.1 | 20.0 |
Where the values come from
Jones is the 9th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.5 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 95.
Smith-Njigba is the 1st receiver on the chart and 4th overall. His 20.0 a game is 10.9 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 120.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 16.5 in Week 5, a median of 16.5 points a game, up 2.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Jaxon Smith-Njigba at 19.8 in Week 3, 20.1 in Week 4 and 20.0 in Week 5, a median of 20.0 points a game, flat across them.
Advertisement
Points so far against the price
Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.5 a game less than the 16.5 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.
Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB5 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.
Jaxon Smith-Njigba has scored 139.5 PPR points in 5 games, 27.9 a game, 7.9 a game more than the 20.0 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR2 with 359.9 PPR points in 17 games, 21.2 a game.
Week 1 vs NE: 26.2 points (WR6 that week), 8 of 11 targets for 122 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs ARI: 42.5 points (WR1 that week), 9 of 11 targets for 155 yards, 3 touchdowns, 67 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs WAS: 35.4 points (WR1 that week), 10 of 14 targets for 128 yards, 2 touchdowns, 87 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs LAC: 12.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 6 targets for 76 yards, 88 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs SF: 22.8 points (WR7 that week), 16 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 8 targets for 102 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 18.0 carries for 74 yards and 3.8 targets and 2.3 catches for 17 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against MIA he had 20 carries and 8 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Jaxon Smith-Njigba has averaged 10.5 targets and 8.0 catches for 120 yards a game on 82 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 10 times inside the 20, 22 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against LAC he had 6 targets on 88 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Jaxon Smith-Njigba has 11 games with his bye in Week 11.
DEN, Smith-Njigba's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 28.3 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th fewest to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Aaron Jones Sr. would want about 25 more added to make it even: a player like Sam LaPorta, valued at 25. Two players for Smith-Njigba also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Jaxon Smith-Njigba
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Amon-Ra St. Brown95 vs 119
Aaron Jones Sr. for Derrick Henry95 vs 115
Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey95 vs 114
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaylen Warren95 vs 102
Bijan Robinson for Jaxon Smith-Njigba154 vs 120
Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Kenneth Walker120 vs 145- Jaxon Smith-Njigba for Jonathan Taylor120 vs 120
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Jaxon Smith-Njigba119 vs 120
- Derrick Henry for Jaxon Smith-Njigba115 vs 120
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaxon Smith-Njigba?
Yes on value: Jaxon Smith-Njigba is worth 120 and Aaron Jones Sr. 95, a gain of 25. If Aaron Jones Sr. starts for you and Jaxon Smith-Njigba would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Jaxon Smith-Njigba?
Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 120 to 95. He rates 20.0 market points a game over 11 games left, against 16.5 over 11 for Aaron Jones Sr., each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number