Trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey? Yes, McCaffrey is worth 19 more.
Yes on value. Christian McCaffrey is worth 114 rest of season and Aaron Jones Sr. 95, so the side getting McCaffrey gains 19. Jones rates 16.5 market points a game with 11 games left, McCaffrey 18.3 with 11. On usage, Jones has 65 percent of MIN carries and 15 percent of its targets; McCaffrey has 45 percent of SF carries and 20 percent of its targets. Jones is on bye in Week 6; McCaffrey hosts WAS in Week 6 (4th fewest points allowed to RBs). Aaron Jones Sr. is listed Questionable (leg).
The verdict, Week 5
Getting Christian McCaffrey wins by 19.
Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 16.5
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 6
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 14.1 | 17.4 | 16.5 |
- Pts/game
- 18.3
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 12.8 | 20.8 | 18.3 |
Where the values come from
Jones is the 9th running back on the chart and 12th overall. His 16.5 a game is 8.6 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 6, which is how he comes to 95.
McCaffrey is the 6th running back on the chart and 8th overall. His 18.3 a game is 10.4 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 114.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Aaron Jones Sr. at 14.1 in Week 3, 17.4 in Week 4 and 16.5 in Week 5, a median of 16.5 points a game, up 2.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Christian McCaffrey at 12.8 in Week 3, 20.8 in Week 4 and 18.3 in Week 5, a median of 18.3 points a game, up 5.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Aaron Jones Sr. has scored 70.2 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 2.5 a game less than the 16.5 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB41 with 118.7 PPR points in 12 games, 9.9 a game.
Week 1 vs GB: 10.0 points (RB26 that week), 40 rushing yards on 12 carries, 0 of 1 target for 0 yards, 1 touchdown, 46 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs CHI: 10.5 points (RB22 that week), 105 rushing yards on 23 carries, 81 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB14 that week), 58 rushing yards on 17 carries, 5 of 6 targets for 34 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs MIA: 16.8 points (RB18 that week), 94 rushing yards on 20 carries, 4 of 8 targets for 34 yards, 73 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs NO: 18.7 points (RB5 that week), 113 rushing yards on 25 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 4 yards, 1 touchdown.
Christian McCaffrey has scored 91.3 PPR points in 5 games, 18.3 a game, level with the 18.3 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB1 with 416.6 PPR points in 17 games, 24.5 a game.
Week 1 vs LAR: 13.8 points (RB19 that week), 68 rushing yards on 10 carries, 5 of 8 targets for 20 yards, 55 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs MIA: 22.6 points (RB4 that week), 23 rushing yards on 10 carries, 4 of 4 targets for 43 yards, 2 touchdowns, 52 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs ARI: 21.6 points (RB6 that week), 75 rushing yards on 15 carries, 4 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 83 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DEN: 16.0 points (RB20 that week), 52 rushing yards on 15 carries, 3 of 5 targets for 18 yards, 1 touchdown, 74 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs SEA: 17.3 points (RB8 that week), 68 rushing yards on 11 carries, 3 of 3 targets for 15 yards, 1 touchdown.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Aaron Jones Sr. has averaged 18.0 carries for 74 yards and 3.8 targets and 2.3 catches for 17 yards a game on 69 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 8 times inside the 20, 38 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.
In Week 4 against MIA he had 20 carries and 8 targets on 73 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Christian McCaffrey has averaged 12.5 carries for 55 yards and 5.5 targets and 4.0 catches for 31 yards a game on 66 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 15 times inside the 20, 35 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against DEN he had 15 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Aaron Jones Sr. has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 6; Christian McCaffrey has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.
WAS, McCaffrey's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 16.1 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 4th fewest to RBs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Aaron Jones Sr. would want about 19 more added to make it even: a player like Tyler Shough, valued at 19. Two players for McCaffrey also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Aaron Jones Sr. and Christian McCaffrey
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaxon Smith-Njigba95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jonathan Taylor95 vs 120
Aaron Jones Sr. for Amon-Ra St. Brown95 vs 119
Aaron Jones Sr. for Derrick Henry95 vs 115
Aaron Jones Sr. for Jaylen Warren95 vs 102
Bijan Robinson for Christian McCaffrey154 vs 114
Christian McCaffrey for Kenneth Walker114 vs 145- Christian McCaffrey for Jaxon Smith-Njigba114 vs 120
- Christian McCaffrey for Jonathan Taylor114 vs 120
- Amon-Ra St. Brown for Christian McCaffrey119 vs 114
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Aaron Jones Sr. for Christian McCaffrey?
Yes on value: Christian McCaffrey is worth 114 and Aaron Jones Sr. 95, a gain of 19. If Aaron Jones Sr. starts for you and Christian McCaffrey would sit, check the lineup first in the trade analyzer.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Aaron Jones Sr. or Christian McCaffrey?
Christian McCaffrey, 114 to 95. He rates 18.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 16.5 over 11 for Aaron Jones Sr., each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number