Skip to main content
parlae.ioBeta
Sign in

Trade Christian Watson for Tetairoa McMillan? Close to even, 53 to 58.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Christian Watson is 53 and Tetairoa McMillan is 58, a 5 point edge to McMillan that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Watson rates 13.9 market points a game with 11 games left, McMillan 13.9 with 12. On usage, Watson has drawn 21 percent of GB targets; McMillan has drawn 27 percent of CAR targets. Watson hosts DAL in Week 6 (11th most points allowed to WRs); McMillan is at PHI in Week 6 (10th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Christian Watson 5358 Tetairoa McMillan

Run this trade in the analyzer

Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.

Give Watson, get McMillanGive McMillan, get Watson

See it against your lineup

Sync your league and the analyzer shows your best starting lineup before and after the deal. Free, no account.

SleeperESPNYahoo

Christian Watson

WR15GB

53

value, #37

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
11
Bye
11
Christian Watson weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
14.713.913.0

Tetairoa McMillan

WR12CAR

58

value, #32

Pts/game
13.9
Games left
12
Bye
5
Tetairoa McMillan weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
13.114.7not priced

Where the values come from

Watson is the 15th receiver on the chart and 37th overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 11, which is how he comes to 53.

McMillan is the 12th receiver on the chart and 32nd overall. His 13.9 a game is 4.8 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 12 games left with no bye left, which is how he comes to 58.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Christian Watson at 14.7 in Week 3, 13.9 in Week 4 and 13.0 in Week 5, a median of 13.9 points a game, down 1.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Tetairoa McMillan at 13.1 in Week 3 and 14.7 in Week 4, a median of 13.9 points a game, up 1.5 from his first frozen week to his latest.

Advertisement

Points so far against the price

Christian Watson has scored 109.4 PPR points in 5 games, 21.9 a game, 8.0 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR46 with 132.4 PPR points in 10 games, 13.2 a game.

Week 1 vs MIN: 32.7 points (WR2 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 147 yards, 2 touchdowns, 76 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs NYJ: 14.1 points (WR21 that week), 4 of 11 targets for 41 yards, 1 touchdown, 90 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs ATL: 22.6 points (WR6 that week), 7 of 10 targets for 96 yards, 1 touchdown, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs TB: 7.7 points (WR55 that week), 3 of 3 targets for 47 yards, 68 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs CHI: 32.3 points (WR1 that week), 6 of 8 targets for 143 yards, 2 touchdowns.

Tetairoa McMillan has scored 74.5 PPR points in 4 games, 18.6 a game, 4.7 a game more than the 13.9 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR16 with 211.4 PPR points in 17 games, 12.4 a game.

Week 1 vs CHI: 10.5 points (WR32 that week), 5 of 8 targets for 75 yards, 82 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs ATL: 15.1 points (WR16 that week), 5 of 10 targets for 101 yards, 80 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs CLE: 3.7 points (WR87 that week), 2 of 5 targets for 17 yards, 95 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs DET: 45.2 points (WR1 that week), 14 of 16 targets for 192 yards, 2 touchdowns, 89 percent of snaps.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Christian Watson has averaged 8.0 targets and 5.0 catches for 83 yards a game on 79 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 16 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 4 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against TB he had 3 targets on 68 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Tetairoa McMillan has averaged 9.8 targets and 6.5 catches for 96 yards a game on 87 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 6 times inside the 20, 15 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against DET he had 16 targets on 89 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Christian Watson has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 11; Tetairoa McMillan has 12 games with no bye left.

DAL, Watson's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 36.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 11th most to WRs of 32.

PHI, McMillan's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 10th most to WRs of 32.

Other trades for Christian Watson and Tetairoa McMillan

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Christian Watson for Tetairoa McMillan?

    It is close to even: Christian Watson is 53 and Tetairoa McMillan is 58 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Christian Watson or Tetairoa McMillan?

    Tetairoa McMillan, 58 to 53. He rates 13.9 market points a game over 12 games left, against 13.9 over 11 for Christian Watson, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number