Trade Javonte Williams for Nico Collins? No, Williams is worth 13 more.
No on value. Javonte Williams is worth 86 rest of season and Nico Collins 73, so giving up Williams costs 13. Williams rates 15.7 market points a game with 11 games left, Collins 15.7 with 11. On usage, Williams has 66 percent of DAL carries and 12 percent of its targets; Collins has drawn 29 percent of HOU targets. Williams is at GB in Week 6 (2nd most points allowed to RBs); Collins is at JAX in Week 6 (9th most points allowed to WRs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.
The verdict, Week 5

Keeping Javonte Williams wins by 13.

Run this trade in the analyzer
Both sides are filled in. Add a player to either side to check a two for one.
- Pts/game
- 15.7
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 14
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7 | 14.6 | 17.3 |
- Pts/game
- 15.7
- Games left
- 11
- Bye
- 8
| Wk 3 | Wk 4 | Wk 5 |
|---|---|---|
| 2.8 | 15.7 | 16.7 |
Where the values come from
Williams is the 13th running back on the chart and 19th overall. His 15.7 a game is 7.8 above the replacement running back's 7.9, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 14, which is how he comes to 86.
Collins is the 9th receiver on the chart and 25th overall. His 15.7 a game is 6.6 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 8, which is how he comes to 73.
The weekly market prices
The market priced Javonte Williams at 15.7 in Week 3, 14.6 in Week 4 and 17.3 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 1.6 from his first frozen week to his latest.
The market priced Nico Collins at 2.8 in Week 3, 15.7 in Week 4 and 16.7 in Week 5, a median of 15.7 points a game, up 13.9 from his first frozen week to his latest.
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Points so far against the price
Javonte Williams has scored 96.0 PPR points in 5 games, 19.2 a game, 3.5 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished RB12 with 242.8 PPR points in 16 games, 15.2 a game.
Week 1 vs NYG: 24.2 points (RB9 that week), 41 rushing yards on 12 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 31 yards, 2 touchdowns, 71 percent of snaps.
Week 2 vs WAS: 8.0 points (RB34 that week), 30 rushing yards on 12 carries, 3 of 4 targets for 20 yards, 80 percent of snaps.
Week 3 vs BAL: 18.3 points (RB10 that week), 98 rushing yards on 19 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 5 yards, 1 touchdown, 76 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs HOU: 31.3 points (RB2 that week), 62 rushing yards on 19 carries, 5 of 5 targets for 21 yards, 3 touchdowns, 74 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs TB: 14.2 points (RB15 that week), 45 rushing yards on 12 carries, 2 of 3 targets for 17 yards, 1 touchdown.
Nico Collins has scored 62.6 PPR points in 3 games, 20.9 a game, 5.2 a game more than the 15.7 the market prices him at from here.
Last season he finished WR8 with 226.2 PPR points in 15 games, 15.1 a game.
Week 1 vs BUF: 21.2 points (WR8 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 10 targets for 75 yards, 1 touchdown, 72 percent of snaps.
Week 4 vs DAL: 30.8 points (WR3 that week), 7 of 8 targets for 118 yards, 2 touchdowns, 69 percent of snaps.
Week 5 vs TEN: 10.6 points (WR31 that week), 5 of 7 targets for 56 yards.
Usage a game this season
Through Week 4, Javonte Williams has averaged 15.5 carries for 58 yards and 4.3 targets and 3.8 catches for 19 yards a game on 75 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 22 times inside the 20, 46 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 6 touchdowns in 4 games.
In Week 4 against HOU he had 19 carries and 5 targets on 74 percent of the snaps.
Through Week 4, Nico Collins has averaged 0.5 carries for 4 yards and 9.0 targets and 7.0 catches for 97 yards a game on 71 percent of the snaps.
He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 23 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 3 touchdowns in 2 games.
In Week 4 against DAL he had 8 targets on 69 percent of the snaps.
Schedule and next matchup
A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Javonte Williams has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 14; Nico Collins has 11 games with his bye in Week 8.
GB, Williams's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 29.0 PPR points a game to RBs this season over 4 games, the 2nd most to RBs of 32.
JAX, Collins's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 37.0 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 9th most to WRs of 32.
What would even it
The side getting Nico Collins would want about 13 more added to make it even: a player like Drake Maye, valued at 14. Two players for Williams also costs that side a roster spot.
Other trades for Javonte Williams and Nico Collins

Javonte Williams for Jaxon Smith-Njigba86 vs 120
Javonte Williams for Jonathan Taylor86 vs 120
Amon-Ra St. Brown for Javonte Williams119 vs 86
Derrick Henry for Javonte Williams115 vs 86
Christian McCaffrey for Javonte Williams114 vs 86
Jaylen Warren for Nico Collins102 vs 73
CeeDee Lamb for Nico Collins100 vs 73
Chuba Hubbard for Nico Collins96 vs 73
Aaron Jones Sr. for Nico Collins95 vs 73
Ashton Jeanty for Nico Collins95 vs 73
The full Week 5 trade value chart
Common questions
Should I trade Javonte Williams for Nico Collins?
No on value: Javonte Williams is worth 86 and Nico Collins 73, a loss of 13. It can still help a lineup that needs a receiver more than it needs Williams.
Who has more rest-of-season value, Javonte Williams or Nico Collins?
Javonte Williams, 86 to 73. He rates 15.7 market points a game over 11 games left, against 15.7 over 11 for Nico Collins, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.
How are these trade values calculated?
Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.
By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number