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Trade Luther Burden III for Tyler Warren? Close to even, 24 to 31.

Close to even. On rest-of-season value Luther Burden III is 24 and Tyler Warren is 31, a 7 point edge to Warren that sits inside the 8 points these values cannot separate. Take the one your lineup is short of. Burden rates 11.3 market points a game with 11 games left, Warren 12.3 with 11. On usage, Burden has drawn 24 percent of CHI targets; Warren has drawn 22 percent of IND targets. Burden is at ATL in Week 6 (5th most points allowed to WRs); Warren hosts TEN in Week 6 (11th fewest points allowed to TEs). Neither carries an injury designation this week.

The verdict, Week 5

Close to even.

Luther Burden III 2431 Tyler Warren

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Luther Burden III

WR25CHI

24

value, #59

Pts/game
11.3
Games left
11
Bye
10
Luther Burden III weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
4.811.311.5

Tyler Warren

TE6IND

31

value, #53

Pts/game
12.3
Games left
11
Bye
13
Tyler Warren weekly market-based points
Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5
10.912.812.3

Where the values come from

Burden is the 25th receiver on the chart and 59th overall. His 11.3 a game is 2.2 above the replacement receiver's 9.1, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 10, which is how he comes to 24.

Warren is the 6th tight end on the chart and 53rd overall. His 12.3 a game is 2.8 above the replacement tight end's 9.5, over 11 games left with his bye in Week 13, which is how he comes to 31.

The weekly market prices

The market priced Luther Burden III at 4.8 in Week 3, 11.3 in Week 4 and 11.5 in Week 5, a median of 11.3 points a game, up 6.7 from his first frozen week to his latest.

The market priced Tyler Warren at 10.9 in Week 3, 12.8 in Week 4 and 12.3 in Week 5, a median of 12.3 points a game, up 1.4 from his first frozen week to his latest.

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Points so far against the price

Luther Burden III has scored 55.8 PPR points in 5 games, 11.2 a game, level with the 11.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished WR48 with 127.9 PPR points in 15 games, 8.5 a game.

Week 1 vs CAR: 9.5 points (WR37 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 5 of 5 targets for 63 yards, 73 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs MIN: 6.2 points (WR63 that week), 3 of 7 targets for 32 yards, 57 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs PHI: 19.8 points (WR13 that week), 7 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 11 targets for 61 yards, 1 touchdown, 61 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs NYJ: 11.4 points (WR40 that week), 11 rushing yards on 1 carry, 4 of 6 targets for 63 yards, 56 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs GB: 8.9 points (WR38 that week), 2 rushing yards on 4 carries, 4 of 6 targets for 47 yards.

Tyler Warren has scored 69.9 PPR points in 5 games, 14.0 a game, 1.7 a game more than the 12.3 the market prices him at from here.

Last season he finished TE4 with 188.5 PPR points in 17 games, 11.1 a game.

Week 1 vs BAL: 10.3 points (TE14 that week), 3 of 5 targets for 13 yards, 1 touchdown, 93 percent of snaps.

Week 2 vs KC: 14.4 points (TE10 that week), 3 rushing yards on 1 carry, 6 of 7 targets for 21 yards, 1 touchdown, 89 percent of snaps.

Week 3 vs HOU: 14.7 points (TE10 that week), 2 rushing yards on 1 carry, 9 of 10 targets for 55 yards, 94 percent of snaps.

Week 4 vs WAS: 9.1 points (TE21 that week), 5 of 5 targets for 41 yards, 85 percent of snaps.

Week 5 vs PIT: 21.4 points (TE5 that week), 1 rushing yards on 1 carry, 7 of 9 targets for 83 yards, 1 touchdown.

Usage a game this season

Through Week 4, Luther Burden III has averaged 0.8 carries for 5 yards and 7.3 targets and 4.8 catches for 55 yards a game on 61 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 7 times inside the 20, 11 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 1 touchdown in 4 games.

In Week 4 against NYJ he had 1 carry and 6 targets on 56 percent of the snaps.

Through Week 4, Tyler Warren has averaged 0.5 carries for 1 yard and 6.8 targets and 5.8 catches for 33 yards a game on 90 percent of the snaps.

He has been targeted or handed the ball 3 times inside the 20, 8 percent of his team's chances there, and has scored 2 touchdowns in 4 games.

In Week 4 against WAS he had 5 targets on 85 percent of the snaps.

Schedule and next matchup

A trade made now buys Week 6 through Week 17. Luther Burden III has 11 games in it with his bye in Week 10; Tyler Warren has 11 games with his bye in Week 13.

ATL, Burden's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 38.4 PPR points a game to WRs this season over 4 games, the 5th most to WRs of 32.

TEN, Warren's Week 6 opponent, has allowed 10.3 PPR points a game to TEs this season over 4 games, the 11th fewest to TEs of 32.

Other trades for Luther Burden III and Tyler Warren

The full Week 5 trade value chart

Common questions

  • Should I trade Luther Burden III for Tyler Warren?

    It is close to even: Luther Burden III is 24 and Tyler Warren is 31 on rest-of-season value, inside the 8 points the values cannot separate. Take the one who starts for you.

  • Who has more rest-of-season value, Luther Burden III or Tyler Warren?

    Tyler Warren, 31 to 24. He rates 12.3 market points a game over 11 games left, against 11.3 over 11 for Luther Burden III, each measured above a replacement starter at his own position.

  • How are these trade values calculated?

    Each player's points per game is the median of the market-based PPR points we froze before each week's first kickoff, Weeks 3, 4, 5. A replacement starter's rate is subtracted and the rest is multiplied by his games from Week 6 to Week 17, bye taken out. No expert opinion is involved.

By the Parlae deskValues updated Oct 12, 2026 at 9:06 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number