Brenton Strange or Cole Kmet: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Brenton Strange's market-based projection is 8.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 88th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Cole Kmet's market-based projection is 3.4 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 129th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brenton Strange: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Cole Kmet: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 135th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Brenton Strange has been on the field for 79 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 26 targets have averaged 7.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against NE he caught 3 of 5 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 7 of 8 targets for 68 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Cole Kmet has been on the field for 61 percent of CHI snaps, drawn 6 percent of the targets and had 0 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 3 of the offence's 43 third down targets, had 0 of its 26 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 28 two minute targets.

His 9 targets have averaged 8.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against PHI he caught 0 of 1 target for 0 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against NYJ he caught 2 of 2 targets for 13 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against GB he caught 1 of 2 targets for 8 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brenton Strange played 12 games and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Cole Kmet played 16 games and scored 78.7 PPR points, 4.9 a game, finishing TE36.

He caught 30 of 48 targets for 347 yards and 2 touchdowns, with 6 red zone targets.

That came to 3.0 targets a game, a 63 percent catch rate and 11.6 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 69 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Cole Kmet was available for 4 games more.

Head to head

In 2025 Brenton Strange scored 9.8 PPR points a game and Cole Kmet 4.9, 4.9 a game between them.

Brenton Strange finished TE23 that year and Cole Kmet TE36.

Brenton Strange had 12 more targets than Cole Kmet, 60 to 48.

Brenton Strange had 193 more receiving yards than Cole Kmet, 540 to 347.

This season Brenton Strange holds the bigger snap share, 79 percent against 61 percent.

This season Brenton Strange holds the bigger target share, 19 percent against 6 percent.

What would change the answer

5.4 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.