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FPL fixture difficulty, Gameweek 7 onward

Man City have the easiest run of the next 6 gameweeks (2.00 on a 1 to 5 grade), then Brighton (2.17) and Arsenal (2.50). The hardest belongs to Newcastle (3.67).

All 20 teams, easiest run first

Parlae difficulty:1 easiest2345 hardest

TeamAvgGW7GW8GW9GW10GW11GW12
Man City2.00IPS (H)AVL (A)BHA (H)NFO (A)FUL (H)ARS (A)
Brighton2.17CRY (H)LIV (A)MCI (A)BRE (H)HUL (A)NEW (H)
Arsenal2.50NFO (A)EVE (H)LIV (A)HUL (H)NEW (A)MCI (H)
Brentford2.67LIV (H)HUL (A)NFO (H)BHA (A)EVE (H)MUN (A)
Leeds2.67MUN (H)SUN (A)BOU (A)TOT (H)CHE (A)COV (H)
Man Utd2.67LEE (A)BOU (H)CHE (A)AVL (H)LIV (A)BRE (H)
Sunderland2.83BOU (A)LEE (H)COV (A)CHE (H)AVL (A)TOT (H)
Everton3.00CHE (H)ARS (A)NEW (A)COV (H)BRE (A)LIV (H)
Fulham3.00HUL (H)COV (A)AVL (A)NEW (H)MCI (A)BOU (H)
Nott'm Forest3.00ARS (H)IPS (A)BRE (A)MCI (H)BOU (A)CHE (H)
Chelsea3.17EVE (A)TOT (H)MUN (H)SUN (A)LEE (H)NFO (A)
Crystal Palace3.17BHA (A)NEW (H)TOT (A)LIV (H)COV (A)HUL (H)
Hull City3.17FUL (A)BRE (H)IPS (H)ARS (A)BHA (H)CRY (A)
Ipswich Town3.17MCI (A)NFO (H)HUL (A)BOU (H)TOT (A)AVL (H)
Liverpool3.17BRE (A)BHA (H)ARS (H)CRY (A)MUN (H)EVE (A)
Spurs3.33COV (H)CHE (A)CRY (H)LEE (A)IPS (H)SUN (A)
Bournemouth3.50SUN (H)MUN (A)LEE (H)IPS (A)NFO (H)FUL (A)
Coventry City3.50TOT (A)FUL (H)SUN (H)EVE (A)CRY (H)LEE (A)
Aston Villa3.67NEW (A)MCI (H)FUL (H)MUN (A)SUN (H)IPS (A)
Newcastle3.67AVL (H)CRY (A)EVE (H)FUL (A)ARS (H)BHA (A)

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Attack and defence behind the grades

1.00 is league average. Attack above 1 scores more than average; defence above 1 concedes more. Teams in grid order.

TeamPlayedAttackDefence
Man City61.330.87
Brighton61.420.92
Arsenal61.110.73
Brentford61.190.91
Leeds60.970.90
Man Utd61.100.99
Sunderland60.991.14
Everton60.980.87
Fulham60.961.09
Nott'm Forest60.980.91
Chelsea61.161.17
Crystal Palace61.001.25
Hull City60.890.93
Ipswich Town61.011.17
Liverpool60.970.89
Spurs60.750.99
Bournemouth60.921.08
Coventry City60.801.13
Aston Villa60.841.12
Newcastle60.961.19

How a match is graded

Each team's goals per game for and against are 60 percent expected goals and 40 percent real goals this season, with 4 league-average games added so an early run of results cannot decide the grade alone. A match's expected goals are the league average of 1.47 per team per game times the team's attack times the opponent's defence, 10 percent up at home and down away. The grade compares goals against with goals for: 1 when a team should outscore its opponent by about a goal, 5 when it should be outscored by that much. A blank gameweek counts as a 5 in the average, because a player without a match scores nothing. Hover any fixture for its numbers.

The grades feed every projection on the captain page and the differentials.

Parlae is an independent site. It is not affiliated with, endorsed by or connected to the Premier League, its clubs or Fantasy Premier League. Prices, ownership, transfer counts and player statistics are read from the game's public data; projections, difficulty grades and every pick on this page are Parlae's own model, not the game's.

By the Parlae deskFixtures updated Oct 14, 2026 at 8:22 AM ETHow this is builtReport a wrong number