Brenton Strange or Tyjae Spears: who should I start in Week 6?

The market-based projections

Brenton Strange's market-based projection is 8.8 PPR points a game, built from 3 markets across 13 market sources. That is the 88th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Tyjae Spears's market-based projection is 6.5 PPR points a game, built from 5 markets across 12 market sources. That is the 106th highest figure of the 157 players with a market-based projection.

Where the draft room stands

Drafters have formed no consensus on Brenton Strange: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 69th overall on the rest of his evidence.

Drafters have formed no consensus on Tyjae Spears: he carries no ADP, and the board ranks him 70th overall on the rest of his evidence.

This season through Week 5

Through Week 5, Brenton Strange has been on the field for 79 percent of JAX snaps, drawn 19 percent of the targets and had 7 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 35 third down targets, had 0 of its 11 chances inside the five and seen 1 of its 18 two minute targets.

His 26 targets have averaged 7.6 air yards.

In Week 3 against NE he caught 3 of 5 targets for 32 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against CIN he caught 7 of 8 targets for 95 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against PHI he caught 7 of 8 targets for 68 yards and did not score.

Through Week 5, Tyjae Spears has been on the field for 44 percent of TEN snaps, taken 16 percent of the carries, drawn 11 percent of the targets and had 5 percent of the red zone chances.

He has taken 6 of the offence's 40 third down targets, had 0 of its 12 chances inside the five and seen 7 of its 29 two minute targets.

His 16 targets have come 2.6 yards behind the line of scrimmage on average.

In Week 3 against NYG he carried 3 times for 5 yards and did not score.

In Week 4 against BAL he carried 2 times for 7 yards, caught 1 of 1 target for -1 yards and did not score.

In Week 5 against HOU he carried 2 times for 0 yards, caught 9 of 9 targets for 28 yards and did not score.

Their 2025 seasons

In 2025 Brenton Strange played 12 games and scored 118.0 PPR points, 9.8 a game, finishing TE23.

He caught 46 of 60 targets for 540 yards and 3 touchdowns, with 9 red zone targets.

That came to 5.0 targets a game, a 77 percent catch rate and 11.7 yards a catch.

He was on the field for 76 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

In 2025 Tyjae Spears played 13 games and scored 111.7 PPR points, 8.6 a game, finishing RB44.

He carried 72 times for 283 yards and 2 touchdowns, and caught 45 of 50 targets for 264 more yards.

That came to 5-6 carries a game at 3.9 yards a carry and 3-4 catches a game.

He was on the field for 46 percent of the snaps in the games he played.

Tyjae Spears was available for 1 game more.

Side by side

In 2025 Brenton Strange scored 9.8 PPR points a game and Tyjae Spears 8.6, 1.2 a game between them.

Brenton Strange finished TE23 and Tyjae Spears RB44, which are two different ladders.

Brenton Strange is a tight end and Tyjae Spears a running back, so the question is which slot you fill first rather than which of them is better.

What would change the answer

2.3 points a game is the entire case. The market restates it every week, and a line that moves moves the order with it.

The draft market is the half that is missing: when the consensus sample holds these two again it can order them differently from the projection, and this page will follow the sample rather than the market-based projection when it does.